DEN1.00IND2000.00SpreadIND +20.5Total229.5via Polymarket
Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Same Game Parlay Picks
Updated Nov 7, after the final
Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers, 7 November 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.
Same game parlays
Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.
Safer4 legs
Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.
Christian BraunUnder 0.5 Blocks · 4/5 last 5 · 86.8%
1.36
Aaron NesmithUnder 0.5 Blocks · 4/5 last 5 · 81.4%
1.38
Cameron JohnsonUnder 0.5 Blocks · 5/5 last 5 · 75.1%
1.36
DeMar DeRozanUnder 2.5 Rebounds · 4/5 last 5 · 73.1%
1.63
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 4.16.
Market 18.3%Statz 38.8%+20.5%
Edge4 legs
The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.
PP2.10Nikola JokicOver 1.5 Steals · 3/5 last 5 · 68.4%
Obi ToppinUnder 4.5 Rebounds · 0/5 last 5 · 72.5%
1.80
Aaron NesmithUnder 3.5 Rebounds · 4/5 last 5 · 70%
1.76
Jamal MurrayUnder 6.5 Assists · 3/5 last 5 · 69.8%
1.74
PP10.13
Market 7.3%Statz 24.2%+16.9%
Scoring4 legs
Points, threes and the combination markets, over.
Jamal MurrayOver 2.5 Threes · 3/5 last 5 · 72.3%
1.69
PP2.00Ivica ZubacOver 18.5 Pts + Reb · 3/5 last 5 · 56.8%
Cameron JohnsonOver 17.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 2/5 last 5 · 56.3%
1.86
Aaron GordonOver 18.5 Pts + Reb · 2/5 last 5 · 54.6%
1.89
Market 7.5%Statz 12.6%+5.1%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.

