Charlotte HornetsHornets
Wed, Oct 287:00 PMETDetroit
Detroit PistonsPistons
CHA3.51DET1.40SpreadDET -7.5Total213.5via Polymarket

Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons: Preview, Odds and Props

The Statz model for this game: win probability, spread, total and every player projection: Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons, 28 October 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.

Hornets vs Pistons match projection

What the model expects: the score, the result, the totals and how both sides' numbers are likely to fall.

Projected result

Projected points, the result and the totals.

CHAHornets
104.8-112.2
Projected points
DETPistons
Projected marginDET by 7.4
69%
Over 207.5 points
49%
Over 217.5 points
29%
Over 227.5 points
44%
Pistons by 10+
27%
Decided by 5 or fewer
35%
Decided by 15+

Points matrix

How both sides' points are likely to fall. Darker is likelier; gold is the most likely.

Pistons points
Hornets points
<9696-103104-111112-119120-127128+
<962.3%4.2%5.8%4.7%2.2%0.7%
96-1031.9%4.3%7.1%6.8%3.8%1.5%
104-1111.4%3.8%7.1%7.8%5.0%2.3%
112-1190.6%2.0%4.2%5.3%3.8%2.1%
120-1270.2%0.6%1.5%2.1%1.7%1.1%
128+0.0%0.1%0.3%0.5%0.5%0.4%

Projected team stats

Each market split between the sides, with the chance of clearing the lines either side of the projected total.

By teamHornetsPistons
Points104.8112.2
Rebounds43.643.5
Assists22.926.6
Threes14.611.9
Steals7.68.7
Blocks5.26.2
Turnovers15.113.7
Game totalsBoth sides combined
Points217.0 projected
Over 212.5 59%Over 217.5 49%Over 222.5 39%
Rebounds87.1 projected
Over 84.5 61%Over 87.5 48%Over 90.5 36%
Assists49.5 projected
Over 47.5 60%Over 49.5 50%Over 51.5 40%
Threes26.5 projected
Over 24.5 64%Over 26.5 50%Over 28.5 36%
Steals16.3 projected
Over 15.5 58%Over 16.5 48%Over 17.5 38%
Blocks11.4 projected
Over 10.5 61%Over 11.5 49%Over 12.5 37%
Turnovers28.8 projected
Over 27.5 60%Over 28.5 52%Over 29.5 44%

Projected points

Projected points for every player, and the chance each one reaches 10+ and 20+.