TOR2000.00DEN1.00SpreadDEN -19.5Total243.5via Polymarket
Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Same Game Parlay Picks
Updated Nov 4, after the final
Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets, 4 November 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.
Same game parlays
Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.
Safer3 legs
Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.
DeMar DeRozanUnder 0.5 Threes · 4/5 last 5 · 80.9%
1.67
Collin Murray-BoylesUnder 7.5 Reb + Ast · 5/5 last 5 · 77.5%1.83
Nikola JokicUnder 21.5 Reb + Ast · 4/5 last 5 · 67.1%
1.80
5.44Market 15.4%Statz 42.1%+26.7%
Edge4 legs
The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.
Jamal SheadUnder 1.5 Rebounds · 2/5 last 5 · 76.2%
2.12- Collin Murray-BoylesUnder 18.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 3/5 last 5 · 80.7%1.87
Scottie BarnesUnder 0.5 Threes · 3/5 last 5 · 63.4%2.45- DeMar DeRozanUnder 0.5 Threes · 4/5 last 5 · 80.9%1.67
15.63Market 4.9%Statz 31.5%+26.6%
Scoring4 legs
Points, threes and the combination markets, over.
Jakob PoeltlOver 8.5 Pts + Ast · 2/5 last 5 · 63.4%2.02
Immanuel QuickleyOver 2.5 Threes · 3/5 last 5 · 56.1%
1.77
RJ BarrettOver 1.5 Threes · 4/5 last 5 · 54.4%
1.83
Christian BraunOver 14.5 Pts + Ast · 3/5 last 5 · 53.5%1.85
11.44Market 6.6%Statz 10.4%+3.8%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.