OKC1.50DAL2.99SpreadDAL +6.5Total228.5via Polymarket
Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks: Preview, Odds and Props
Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks, 28 October 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.
Same game parlays
Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.
Safer4 legs
Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.
Jared McCainUnder 6.5 Reb + Ast · 4/5 last 5 · 82.8%
1.68
Ajay MitchellUnder 18.5 Points · 4/5 last 5 · 78.1%
1.88
Daniel GaffordUnder 9.5 Points · 4/5 last 5 · 76.6%
1.83
Oklahoma City ThunderMoneyline · 71.7%
1.48
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 8.55.
Market 9.4%Statz 35.5%+26.1%
Edge4 legs
The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.
PP2.00Daniel GaffordUnder 16.5 Pts + Reb · 3/5 last 5 · 84.1%
Jared McCainUnder 2.5 Assists · 4/5 last 5 · 78.2%
2.04
Ajay MitchellUnder 26.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 3/5 last 5 · 80.1%
1.93
PP2.00Max ChristieUnder 13.5 Pts + Reb · 3/5 last 5 · 68.5%
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 15.75.
Market 4.8%Statz 36.1%+31.3%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.

