Washington WizardsWizards
Wed, Oct 287:00 PMETCleveland
Cleveland CavaliersCavaliers
WAS4.44CLE1.29SpreadCLE -9.5Total238.5via Polymarket

Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers: Preview, Odds and Props

The Statz model for this game: win probability, spread, total and every player projection: Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers, 28 October 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.

Wizards vs Cavaliers match projection

What the model expects: the score, the result, the totals and how both sides' numbers are likely to fall.

Projected result

Projected points, the result and the totals.

WASWizards
115.0-124.7
Projected points
CLECavaliers
Projected marginCLE by 9.7
70%
Over 229.5 points
50%
Over 239.5 points
30%
Over 249.5 points
51%
Cavaliers by 10+
25%
Decided by 5 or fewer
40%
Decided by 15+

Points matrix

How both sides' points are likely to fall. Darker is likelier; gold is the most likely.

Cavaliers points
Wizards points
<104104-111112-119120-127128-135136+
<1040.9%2.2%3.9%4.1%2.6%1.2%
104-1110.8%2.5%5.3%6.6%4.9%2.7%
112-1190.7%2.4%5.8%8.2%6.9%4.5%
120-1270.3%1.3%3.7%6.0%5.7%4.4%
128-1350.1%0.4%1.4%2.5%2.7%2.5%
136+0.0%0.1%0.3%0.7%0.9%1.1%

Projected team stats

Each market split between the sides, with the chance of clearing the lines either side of the projected total.

By teamWizardsCavaliers
Points115.0124.7
Rebounds41.647.6
Assists25.128.4
Threes13.113.4
Steals8.38.9
Blocks4.35.4
Turnovers14.413.8
Game totalsBoth sides combined
Points239.7 projected
Over 234.5 61%Over 239.5 50%Over 244.5 40%
Rebounds89.2 projected
Over 86.5 62%Over 89.5 49%Over 92.5 36%
Assists53.5 projected
Over 51.5 60%Over 53.5 50%Over 55.5 40%
Threes26.5 projected
Over 24.5 64%Over 26.5 50%Over 28.5 36%
Steals17.2 projected
Over 16.5 57%Over 17.5 47%Over 18.5 37%
Blocks9.7 projected
Over 8.5 64%Over 9.5 53%Over 10.5 40%
Turnovers28.2 projected
Over 27.5 56%Over 28.5 48%Over 29.5 40%

Projected points

Projected points for every player, and the chance each one reaches 10+ and 20+.