Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Roma win | 13.0% |
| 0-1 | Roma win | 11.1% |
| 0-3 | Roma win | 9.6% |
| 1-2 | Roma win | 9.4% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 9.1% |
| 1-3 | Roma win | 7.0% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 5.9% |
| 0-4 | Roma win | 5.3% |
| 1-4 | Roma win | 3.9% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 3.4% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Parma clean sheet | 11% |
| Roma clean sheet | 48% |
The most likely score in Parma vs Roma is 0-2, a 13% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 0-1 at 11%. The Serie A game kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Parma 0.73 - 2.22 Roma in goals for Parma vs Roma, with over 2.5 goals 56% likely and both teams to score 47%.
Statz projects 22 players for Parma vs Roma on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 17:00 UK time kick-off.
Parma host Roma at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma on 21 November 2026 at 17:00 in Serie A. Parma's last five results: L L D W L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Roma's last five: D W W L W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 4 meetings, Parma have won 0, Roma 4, with 0 draws.
Parma vs Roma kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in Serie A, at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma. Stadio Ennio Tardini holds 27,906 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 17:00.
Parma vs Roma is being played at Stadio Ennio Tardini in Parma on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Parma, which holds 27,906 people. Kick-off is at 17:00 UK time, and the match is part of Serie A.
Parma have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7, with results reading L L D W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat at home to Bologna in the Serie A on 7 November.
Roma have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 7, with results reading W D W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-0 win at home to Sassuolo in the Serie A on 7 November.
Across the last 4 meetings Parma have won 0, Roma have won 4 and 0 were drawn, with Parma scoring 3 goals to Roma's 11. The most recent was Parma 2-3 Roma on 10 May 2026 in the Serie A.
David Romero leads Parma with 10 shots on target across their last 10 games, 1.0 a game, the most of any Parma player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Parma player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Donyell Malen leads Roma with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Roma player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Roma player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Parma vs Roma with 11 starters a side: Parma line up 3-4-2-1 and Roma 3-4-2-1, ahead of the 17:00 UK time kick-off on Saturday 21 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Roma the favourite with a 71% chance of winning, against 10% for Parma and 19% for the draw. Projected goals are Parma 0.7 - 2.2 Roma.
The most likely score in Parma vs Roma is 0-2, a Roma win, at 13%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 47% likely and over 2.5 goals 56%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Parma vs Roma, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Serie A | Parma vs Roma | 2-3 |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Serie A | Roma vs Parma | 2-1 |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Serie A | Parma vs Roma | 0-1 |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Serie A | Roma vs Parma | 5-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Parma 0.7 - 2.2 Roma in goals. It gives Parma a 10% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Roma 71%. Both teams to score is 47% likely, over 1.5 goals 80% and over 2.5 goals 56%. The most likely scorelines are 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-3 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Roma win | 13% |
| 0-1 | Roma win | 11% |
| 0-3 | Roma win | 10% |
| 1-2 | Roma win | 9% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Parma vs Roma, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Parma | Fouls committed | Roma | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Touré | 13 | B. Cristante | 15 |
| 2 | V. Sierro | 11 | E. Ndicka | 9 |
| 3 | M. Keita | 10 | S. Castro | 9 |
| 4 | M. Troilo | 10 | M. Roon | 9 |
| 5 | G. Fabbian | 9 | M. Koné | 8 |
| # | Parma | Shots | Roma | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Lontani | 16 | D. Malen | 36 |
| 2 | D. Romero | 16 | M. Soulé | 27 |
| 3 | E. Touré | 12 | B. Cristante | 20 |
| 4 | E. Delprato | 8 | P. Dybala | 17 |
| 5 | M. Troilo | 7 | R. Mora | 16 |
| # | Parma | Shots on target | Roma | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Romero | 10 | D. Malen | 15 |
| 2 | E. Touré | 6 | M. Soulé | 12 |
| 3 | S. Lontani | 4 | N. Pisilli | 5 |
| 4 | V. Sierro | 2 | R. Mora | 5 |
| 5 | A. Bernabé | 2 | P. Dybala | 5 |
| # | Parma | Goals | Roma | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Lontani | 3 | D. Malen | 5 |
| 2 | D. Romero | 2 | R. Mora | 4 |
| 3 | V. Sierro | 1 | M. Soulé | 3 |
| 4 | G. Fabbian | 1 | M. Hermoso | 2 |
| 5 | P. Almqvist | 1 | N. Pisilli | 2 |
| # | Parma | Yellow cards | Roma | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Troilo | 4 | B. Cristante | 2 |
| 2 | E. Delprato | 3 | M. Roon | 2 |
| 3 | D. Romero | 1 | M. Soulé | 2 |
| 4 | S. Lontani | 1 | N. Pisilli | 2 |
| 5 | V. Sierro | 1 | D. Rensch | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Parma vs Roma: Leonardo Balerdi 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.44); Simone Lontani 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.20); Rodrigo Mora 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.44); Donyell Malen 1+ goals (80% hit rate at 1.62). Combined odds 4.03 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.9 | 19 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 13 of 20 |
| Shots | 10 | 20 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.2 | 19 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 11 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15 | 18 of 20 |
| Passes | 355.3 | 18 of 20 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 19 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3.1 | 1 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.9 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots | 19.4 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 6.5 | 3 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 9 of 20 |
| Tackles | 17.1 | 4 of 20 |
| Passes | 555.7 | 4 of 20 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 4 of 20 |