Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | Chelsea win | 9.6% |
| 1-0 | Chelsea win | 9.4% |
| 2-0 | Chelsea win | 8.4% |
| 1-2 | Leeds win | 6.5% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 6.4% |
| 0-1 | Leeds win | 6.1% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.5% |
| 3-1 | Chelsea win | 5.4% |
| 3-0 | Chelsea win | 4.8% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Chelsea clean sheet | 32% |
| Leeds clean sheet | 18% |
The most likely score in Chelsea vs Leeds is 1-1, a 12% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 2-1 at 10%. The Premier League game kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Chelsea 1.69 - 1.14 Leeds in goals for Chelsea vs Leeds, with over 2.5 goals 54% likely and both teams to score 56%.
Statz projects 22 players for Chelsea vs Leeds on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 15:00 UK time kick-off.
Chelsea host Leeds at Stamford Bridge, London on 21 November 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League. Chelsea's last five results: W L D W L (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Leeds's last five: L D D L W (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Chelsea have won 4, Leeds 1, with 1 draw.
Chelsea vs Leeds kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Premier League, at Stamford Bridge, London. Stamford Bridge holds 34,915 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 15:00.
Chelsea vs Leeds is being played at Stamford Bridge in London on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Chelsea, which holds 34,915 people. Kick-off is at 15:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Premier League.
Chelsea have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4, with results reading W W L W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-1 defeat away to Sunderland in the Premier League on 8 November.
Leeds have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5, with results reading L D D L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-0 win at home to Spurs in the Premier League on 7 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Chelsea have won 4, Leeds have won 1 and 1 was drawn, with Chelsea scoring 14 goals to Leeds's 10. The most recent was Chelsea 6-3 Leeds United on 9 September 2026 in the Carabao Cup.
Morgan Rogers leads Chelsea with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Chelsea player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Chelsea player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads Leeds with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Leeds player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Leeds player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Chelsea vs Leeds with 11 starters a side: Chelsea line up 4-2-3-1 and Leeds 3-4-2-1, ahead of the 15:00 UK time kick-off on Saturday 21 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Chelsea the favourite with a 50% chance of winning, against 25% for Leeds and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Chelsea 1.7 - 1.1 Leeds.
The most likely score in Chelsea vs Leeds is 1-1, a draw, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 56% likely and over 2.5 goals 54%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Chelsea vs Leeds, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | Carabao Cup | Chelsea vs Leeds United | 6-3 |
| 26 Apr 2026 | FA Cup | Chelsea vs Leeds United | 1-0 |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Premier League | Chelsea vs Leeds United | 2-2 |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Premier League | Leeds United vs Chelsea | 3-1 |
| 28 Feb 2024 | FA Cup | Chelsea vs Leeds United | 3-2 |
| 4 Mar 2023 | Premier League | Chelsea vs Leeds United | 1-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Chelsea 1.7 - 1.1 Leeds in goals. It gives Chelsea a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leeds 25%. Both teams to score is 56% likely, over 1.5 goals 78% and over 2.5 goals 54%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%), 2-0 (8%), 1-2 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-1 | Chelsea win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Chelsea win | 9% |
| 2-0 | Chelsea win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Leeds win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Chelsea vs Leeds, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Chelsea | Fouls committed | Leeds | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Neto | 11 | E. Ampadu | 18 |
| 2 | M. Rogers | 11 | D. Calvert-Lewin | 18 |
| 3 | C. Palmer | 11 | J. Bogle | 15 |
| 4 | L. Colwill | 9 | A. Stach | 14 |
| 5 | M. Caicedo | 7 | A. Tanaka | 12 |
| # | Chelsea | Shots | Leeds | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Palmer | 30 | D. Calvert-Lewin | 19 |
| 2 | M. Rogers | 23 | A. Stach | 13 |
| 3 | P. Neto | 18 | J. Bogle | 12 |
| 4 | J. Pedro | 16 | A. Tanaka | 11 |
| 5 | Estêvão | 9 | N. Okafor | 10 |
| # | Chelsea | Shots on target | Leeds | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Neto | 13 | D. Calvert-Lewin | 11 |
| 2 | C. Palmer | 10 | J. Bogle | 5 |
| 3 | M. Rogers | 8 | S. Longstaff | 3 |
| 4 | J. Pedro | 8 | A. Tanaka | 3 |
| 5 | Estêvão | 5 | A. Stach | 3 |
| # | Chelsea | Goals | Leeds | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Rogers | 5 | D. Calvert-Lewin | 4 |
| 2 | J. Pedro | 5 | N. Okafor | 2 |
| 3 | C. Palmer | 3 | J. Justin | 1 |
| 4 | P. Neto | 3 | J. Bogle | 1 |
| 5 | J. Henderson | 2 | A. Stach | 1 |
| # | Chelsea | Yellow cards | Leeds | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Neto | 3 | E. Ampadu | 4 |
| 2 | C. Palmer | 3 | J. Bogle | 3 |
| 3 | M. Rogers | 3 | D. Calvert-Lewin | 3 |
| 4 | W. Fofana | 2 | A. Tanaka | 2 |
| 5 | L. Colwill | 2 | S. Longstaff | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Chelsea vs Leeds: Pedro Neto 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.67); Dominic Calvert-Lewin 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.40); Sean Longstaff 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.62); Ao Tanaka 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.53). Combined odds 5.79 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.9 | 3 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.6 | 14 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.6 | 11 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.7 | 1 of 20 |
| Fouls | 9.5 | 19 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.5 | 8 of 20 |
| Passes | 453.1 | 7 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 6 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 14 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots | 12.1 | 15 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.7 | 13 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 5 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.5 | 9 of 20 |
| Passes | 389.8 | 15 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 13 of 20 |