Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | Alaves win | 11.8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | Alaves win | 8.7% |
| 2-0 | Alaves win | 8.6% |
| 0-1 | Deportivo win | 8.6% |
| 1-2 | Deportivo win | 6.5% |
| 0-2 | Deportivo win | 4.8% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 4.4% |
| 3-1 | Alaves win | 3.9% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Alaves clean sheet | 37% |
| Deportivo clean sheet | 26% |
The most likely score in Alaves vs Deportivo is 1-1, a 14% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-0 at 12%. The La Liga game kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Alaves 1.35 - 1.01 Deportivo in goals for Alaves vs Deportivo, with over 2.5 goals 42% likely and both teams to score 48%.
Statz projects 22 players for Alaves vs Deportivo on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 13:00 UK time kick-off.
Alaves host Deportivo at Estadio de Mendizorroza, Gasteiz on 21 November 2026 at 13:00 in La Liga. Alaves's last five results: L D L D W (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). Deportivo's last five: D L W W D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss).
Alaves vs Deportivo kicks off at 13:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in La Liga, at Estadio de Mendizorroza, Gasteiz. Estadio de Mendizorroza holds 19,840 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 13:00.
Alaves vs Deportivo is being played at Estadio de Mendizorroza in Gasteiz on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Alaves, which holds 19,840 people. Kick-off is at 13:00 UK time, and the match is part of La Liga.
Alaves have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11, with results reading L L D L D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-0 draw away to Sevilla in the La Liga on 6 November.
Deportivo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6, with results reading L D L W D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-0 draw away to Espanyol in the La Liga on 7 November.
Lucas Boyé leads Alaves with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Alaves player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Alaves player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Lorenzo Amatucci leads Deportivo with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Deportivo player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Deportivo player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Alaves vs Deportivo with 11 starters a side: Alaves line up 3-5-2 and Deportivo 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 13:00 UK time kick-off on Saturday 21 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Alaves the favourite with a 44% chance of winning, against 27% for Deportivo and 29% for the draw. Projected goals are Alaves 1.4 - 1.0 Deportivo.
The most likely score in Alaves vs Deportivo is 1-1, a draw, at 14%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 48% likely and over 2.5 goals 42%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Alaves vs Deportivo, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
Statz's projection model expects Alaves 1.4 - 1.0 Deportivo in goals. It gives Alaves a 44% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportivo 27%. Both teams to score is 48% likely, over 1.5 goals 69% and over 2.5 goals 42%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 14% |
| 1-0 | Alaves win | 12% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Alaves win | 9% |
| 2-0 | Alaves win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Alaves vs Deportivo, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Alaves | Fouls committed | Deportivo | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Boyé | 26 | L. Amatucci | 13 |
| 2 | P. Ibáñez | 15 | L. Cruz | 13 |
| 3 | V. Koski | 11 | B. Tonfack | 12 |
| 4 | A. Blanco | 9 | G. Quagliata | 11 |
| 5 | T. Martínez | 9 | J. Giménez | 8 |
| # | Alaves | Shots | Deportivo | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Boyé | 24 | B. Tonfack | 28 |
| 2 | T. Martínez | 14 | P. Aubameyang | 13 |
| 3 | Á. Pérez | 13 | M. Soriano | 13 |
| 4 | P. Ibáñez | 10 | Y. Hernández | 12 |
| 5 | M. Díaz | 9 | L. Cruz | 9 |
| # | Alaves | Shots on target | Deportivo | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Boyé | 11 | P. Aubameyang | 7 |
| 2 | M. Díaz | 6 | Y. Hernández | 6 |
| 3 | Á. Pérez | 5 | B. Tonfack | 6 |
| 4 | T. Martínez | 4 | M. Soriano | 5 |
| 5 | A. Rebbach | 3 | J. Jensen | 5 |
| # | Alaves | Goals | Deportivo | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Boyé | 5 | P. Aubameyang | 3 |
| 2 | M. Díaz | 2 | M. Soriano | 2 |
| 3 | A. Mañas | 1 | B. Tonfack | 2 |
| 4 | H. Novoa | 1 | Y. Hernández | 1 |
| 5 | V. Koski | 1 | D. Villares | 1 |
| # | Alaves | Yellow cards | Deportivo | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Ibáñez | 3 | L. Amatucci | 3 |
| 2 | T. Martínez | 2 | L. Cruz | 2 |
| 3 | N. Tenaglia | 2 | Y. Hernández | 2 |
| 4 | A. Blanco | 2 | A. Altimira | 2 |
| 5 | A. Rebbach | 2 | J. Giménez | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Alaves vs Deportivo: Luismi Cruz 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.20); Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.53); Mario Soriano 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.30). Combined odds 2.39 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.5 | 10 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 10 of 20 |
| Shots | 12.4 | 10 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.3 | 11 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 5 of 20 |
| Tackles | 18.4 | 3 of 20 |
| Passes | 334.8 | 19 of 20 |
| Corners | 4 | 14 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 15 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.2 | 7 of 20 |
| Shots | 11.9 | 13 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.3 | 10 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 15 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.4 | 12 of 20 |
| Passes | 439.1 | 12 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 8 of 20 |