Updated 2 November 2026.
Atlético host Bayern at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid on 3 November 2026 at 20:00 in the Champions League. Atlético's last five results: W W D W W (4 wins and 1 draw). Bayern's last five: D W D W D (2 wins and 3 draws).
Atlético vs Bayern kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Tuesday 3 November 2026 in the Champions League, at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid. Riyadh Air Metropolitano holds 70,460 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 20:00.
Atlético vs Bayern is being played at Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid on Tuesday 3 November 2026, the home ground of Atlético, which holds 70,460 people. Kick-off is at 20:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Champions League.
Atlético have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 1, with results reading W W D W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-0 win away to Levante in the La Liga on 31 October.
Bayern have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 9, with results reading D W D W D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-2 draw at home to Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 31 October.
Alejandro Grimaldo leads Atlético with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Atlético player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Atlético player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Harry Kane leads Bayern with 8 goals across their last 10 games, 0.8 a game, the most of any Bayern player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Bayern player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
François Letexier is the referee for Atlético vs Bayern, averaging 21.2 fouls and 3.2 yellow cards per game across 6 games this season. That is 0.33 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Atlético vs Bayern with 11 starters a side: Atlético line up 4-4-2 and Bayern 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 20:00 UK time kick-off on Tuesday 3 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Bayern the favourite with a 47% chance of winning, against 30% for Atlético and 23% for the draw. Projected goals are Atlético 1.6 - 2.0 Bayern.
The most likely score in Atlético vs Bayern is 1-1, a draw, at 9%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 68% likely and over 2.5 goals 68%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Atlético vs Bayern, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
Statz's projection model expects Atlético 1.6 - 2.0 Bayern in goals. It gives Atlético a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bayern 47%. Both teams to score is 68% likely, over 1.5 goals 87% and over 2.5 goals 68%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 9% |
| 1-2 | Bayern win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Atlético win | 7% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7% |
| 1-3 | Bayern win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Atlético vs Bayern, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Atlético | Fouls committed | Bayern | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Á. Baena | 13 | D. Upamecano | 12 |
| 2 | G. Simeone | 12 | K. Laimer | 11 |
| 3 | K. Lee | 10 | L. Díaz | 9 |
| 4 | M. Llorente | 8 | M. Kim | 8 |
| 5 | M. Pubill | 7 | J. Tah | 8 |
| # | Atlético | Shots | Bayern | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Alvarez | 22 | H. Kane | 47 |
| 2 | Á. Baena | 21 | M. Olise | 38 |
| 3 | K. Lee | 16 | I. Saibari | 24 |
| 4 | A. Grimaldo | 16 | L. Díaz | 14 |
| 5 | J. David | 15 | J. Kimmich | 10 |
| # | Atlético | Shots on target | Bayern | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Alvarez | 10 | M. Olise | 20 |
| 2 | J. David | 10 | H. Kane | 16 |
| 3 | A. Grimaldo | 8 | L. Díaz | 11 |
| 4 | Á. Baena | 7 | I. Saibari | 9 |
| 5 | K. Lee | 6 | D. Upamecano | 6 |
| # | Atlético | Goals | Bayern | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Grimaldo | 4 | H. Kane | 8 |
| 2 | J. David | 3 | M. Olise | 7 |
| 3 | G. Simeone | 2 | L. Díaz | 4 |
| 4 | J. Alvarez | 2 | D. Upamecano | 2 |
| 5 | Á. Baena | 2 | I. Saibari | 2 |
| # | Atlético | Yellow cards | Bayern | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Pubill | 3 | K. Laimer | 3 |
| 2 | Á. Baena | 2 | J. Stanisic | 1 |
| 3 | C. Romero | 2 | J. Tah | 1 |
| 4 | J. Cardoso | 2 | D. Upamecano | 1 |
| 5 | A. Lookman | 2 | M. Olise | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Atlético vs Bayern: Joshua Kimmich 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.67); Tom Bischof 2+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.33); Jonathan Tah 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.25); Konrad Laimer 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.13). Combined odds 3.32 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 4 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.7 | 1 of 20 |
| Shots | 17.3 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 6.1 | 3 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 14 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Passes | 583.7 | 2 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3.9 | 1 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1 | 2 of 18 |
| Shots | 23.3 | 1 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 9.5 | 1 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 10 of 18 |
| Tackles | 13.6 | 17 of 18 |
| Passes | 670.6 | 1 of 18 |
| Corners | 8.6 | 1 of 18 |