QPR host Derby at MATRADE Loftus Road, London on 14 October 2026 at 19:45 in the Championship. QPR's last five results: L D D D D (4 draws and 1 loss). Derby's last five: L L L D D (2 draws and 3 losses). In their last 6 meetings, QPR have won 3, Derby 3, with 0 draws.
QPR vs Derby kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Wednesday 14 October 2026 in the Championship, at MATRADE Loftus Road, London.
QPR vs Derby is being played at MATRADE Loftus Road in London, the home ground of QPR.
QPR's last five results read L D D D D (oldest to newest): 4 draws and 1 loss.
Derby's last five results read L L L D D (oldest to newest): 2 draws and 3 losses.
Across the last 6 meetings QPR have won 3, Derby have won 3 and 0 were drawn. The most recent was Queens Park Rangers 2-3 Derby County on 25 April 2026 in the Championship.
Jake Clarke-Salter leads QPR with 4 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Sammie Szmodics leads Derby with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Matthew Corlett is the referee for QPR vs Derby.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for QPR and Derby are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes QPR the favourite with a 49% chance of winning, against 25% for Derby and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are QPR 1.6 - 1.1 Derby.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 54% likely and over 2.5 goals 50%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Championship | Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County | 2-3 |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Championship | Derby County vs Queens Park Rangers | 1-0 |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Championship | Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County | 4-0 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Championship | Derby County vs Queens Park Rangers | 2-0 |
| 18 Apr 2022 | Championship | Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County | 1-0 |
| 29 Nov 2021 | Championship | Derby County vs Queens Park Rangers | 1-2 |
Statz's projection model expects QPR 1.6 - 1.1 Derby in goals. It gives QPR a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Derby 25%. Both teams to score is 54% likely, over 1.5 goals 76% and over 2.5 goals 50%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | QPR win | 10% |
| 2-1 | QPR win | 10% |
| 2-0 | QPR win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for QPR vs Derby, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | QPR | Fouls committed | Derby | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Kamara | 10 | C. Morris | 12 |
| 2 | J. Clarke-Salter | 8 | A. Mowatt | 10 |
| 3 | A. Mbengue | 8 | C. Taylor | 10 |
| 4 | R. Edwards | 8 | H. Meister | 10 |
| 5 | P. Smyth | 6 | L. Salvesen | 9 |
| # | QPR | Shots | Derby | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Poku | 21 | S. Szmodics | 24 |
| 2 | H. Vale | 20 | B. Clark | 20 |
| 3 | R. Burrell | 15 | C. Morris | 10 |
| 4 | A. Lloyd | 14 | L. Salvesen | 10 |
| 5 | I. Chair | 11 | M. Fuseini | 7 |
| # | QPR | Shots on target | Derby | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Smyth | 8 | S. Szmodics | 9 |
| 2 | R. Burrell | 6 | B. Clark | 5 |
| 3 | N. Madsen | 5 | L. Salvesen | 5 |
| 4 | I. Chair | 5 | J. Ward | 4 |
| 5 | K. Poku | 5 | C. Morris | 3 |
| # | QPR | Goals | Derby | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Smyth | 2 | S. Szmodics | 4 |
| 2 | R. Burrell | 2 | B. Clark | 2 |
| 3 | I. Chair | 2 | M. Fuseini | 1 |
| 4 | N. Madsen | 1 | L. Salvesen | 1 |
| 5 | K. Poku | 1 | C. Morris | 1 |
| # | QPR | Yellow cards | Derby | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Clarke-Salter | 4 | S. Langås | 5 |
| 2 | G. Kamara | 3 | A. Mowatt | 3 |
| 3 | R. Edwards | 2 | C. Blackett-Taylor | 2 |
| 4 | P. Smyth | 1 | M. Fuseini | 2 |
| 5 | B. Kemper | 1 | L. Travis | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for QPR vs Derby: Glen Kamara 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.25); Bobby Clark 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.17); Carlton Morris 2+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.73); Alex Mowatt 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.57). Combined odds 4.05 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 12 of 24 |
| Goals against | 0.9 | 2 of 24 |
| Shots | 16.1 | 3 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 5.1 | 6 of 24 |
| Fouls | 9 | 23 of 24 |
| Tackles | 13.6 | 20 of 24 |
| Passes | 437.6 | 9 of 24 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 7 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.9 | 21 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.7 | 19 of 24 |
| Shots | 12 | 18 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.7 | 18 of 24 |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 3 of 24 |
| Tackles | 15.8 | 9 of 24 |
| Passes | 393.1 | 15 of 24 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 9 of 24 |