No, Troyes have taken 4 points over their last 7 Ligue 1 games, 3.93 fewer than the 7.93 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Troyes create 1.35 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 7 Ligue 1 games, 9.47 in all, and have scored 5 goals from those chances, 4.47 fewer than that xG would expect.
Troyes allow 1.68 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 7 Ligue 1 games, 11.74 in all, and have conceded 16 goals from those chances, 4.26 more than that xGA would expect.
Renaud Ripart has the most expected goals (xG) for Troyes over their last 7 Ligue 1 games, 2.13 xG in 7 appearances, and has scored 1 goal; Jérémy Le Douaron is next with 1.46 xG.
Troyes have taken 3.9 points fewer than their chances warranted over 7 games: -4.5 goals against their xG, and -4.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 7 | 9.47 | 5 | -4.47 | 11.74 | 16 | -4.26 | 7.93 | 4 | -3.93 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.87 | 3 | -3.87 | 8.94 | 15 | -6.06 | 5.43 | 0 | -5.43 |
| Home | 4 | 5.44 | 3 | -2.44 | 7.26 | 11 | -3.74 | 4.22 | 1 | -3.22 |
| Away | 3 | 4.03 | 2 | -2.03 | 4.48 | 5 | -0.52 | 3.71 | 3 | -0.71 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Ligue 1 | Lens (H) | 1-3 | 1.04 | 1.75 | 0.91 | 0 | L |
| 11 Oct | Ligue 1 | Marseille (H) | 0-2 | 1.07 | 1.20 | 1.26 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Ligue 1 | Angers (A) | 2-0 | 1.49 | 1.64 | 1.28 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Ligue 1 | Lille (A) | 2-0 | 0.47 | 1.43 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Ligue 1 | Strasbourg (H) | 2-6 | 2.80 | 2.92 | 1.35 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Ligue 1 | Lorient (A) | 1-2 | 2.07 | 1.41 | 1.80 | 3 | W |
| 22 Aug | Ligue 1 | Paris (H) | 0-0 | 0.53 | 1.39 | 0.70 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Maronnier | defender | 6 | 408 | 0.39 | 1 | +0.61 | 0.09 |
| Antoine Mille | midfielder | 7 | 533 | 0.75 | 1 | +0.25 | 0.13 |
| Timothé Nkada | attacker | 5 | 174 | 1.03 | 1 | -0.03 | 0.53 |
| Jérémy Le Douaron | attacker | 5 | 285 | 1.46 | 1 | -0.46 | 0.46 |
| Karim Dermane | midfielder | 6 | 444 | 0.51 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.10 |
| Mouhamed Diop | midfielder | 7 | 569 | 0.66 | 0 | -0.66 | 0.10 |
| Renaud Ripart | attacker | 7 | 394 | 2.13 | 1 | -1.13 | 0.49 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10.5 | 6 | 8.1 | 14 | +5.9 |
| 2 | LOSC Lille | 7 | 9.3 | 10 | 10.5 | 5 | 9.2 | 14 | +4.8 |
| 3 | Rennes | 7 | 14 | 15 | 14.4 | 14 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais | 7 | 12.1 | 13 | 7.8 | 5 | 12 | 14 | +2 |
| 5 | Lorient | 7 | 8.3 | 7 | 8.8 | 6 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| 6 | Paris | 7 | 12.7 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 12.6 | 14 | +1.4 |
| 7 | Auxerre | 7 | 9.3 | 11 | 13.4 | 17 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 7 | 9.2 | 12 | 14.2 | 15 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| 9 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 17.4 | 14 | 8.4 | 9 | 14.1 | 14 | -0.1 |
| 10 | Nice | 7 | 7.3 | 6 | 9.5 | 9 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| 11 | Olympique Marseille | 7 | 12.1 | 14 | 13.6 | 10 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| 12 | Lens | 7 | 13.7 | 14 | 11.9 | 11 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| 13 | Angers SCO | 7 | 11.3 | 9 | 13.7 | 15 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| 14 | Toulouse | 7 | 12.6 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10.5 | 9 | -1.5 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 7 | 11.1 | 10 | 14.3 | 15 | 8.4 | 6 | -2.4 |
| 16 | Brest | 7 | 13.8 | 13 | 9.1 | 10 | 11.7 | 9 | -2.7 |
| 17 | Troyes | 7 | 9.5 | 5 | 11.7 | 16 | 7.9 | 4 | -3.9 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 11.6 | 5 | 11.2 | 11 | 10 | 2 | -8 |