No, Motherwell have taken 19 points over their last 20 Scottish Premiership games, 5.51 fewer than the 24.51 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Motherwell create 1.42 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Scottish Premiership games, 28.39 in all, and have scored 25 goals from those chances, 3.39 fewer than that xG would expect.
Motherwell allow 1.77 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Scottish Premiership games, 35.35 in all, and have conceded 34 goals from those chances, 1.35 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Tawanda Maswanhise has the most expected goals (xG) for Motherwell over their last 20 Scottish Premiership games, 7.25 xG in 20 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; S. Palmer-Houlden is next with 4.68 xG.
Motherwell have taken 5.5 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -3.4 goals against their xG, and +1.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 28.39 | 25 | -3.39 | 35.35 | 34 | +1.35 | 24.51 | 19 | -5.51 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.79 | 12 | -4.79 | 19.41 | 16 | +3.41 | 13.35 | 11 | -2.35 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.81 | 3 | -4.81 | 12.66 | 12 | +0.66 | 4.86 | 0 | -4.86 |
| Home | 9 | 12.69 | 10 | -2.69 | 11.25 | 13 | -1.75 | 13.40 | 9 | -4.40 |
| Away | 11 | 15.70 | 15 | -0.70 | 24.10 | 21 | +3.10 | 11.11 | 10 | -1.11 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock (A) | 3-2 | 3.38 | 1.86 | 2.14 | 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | Scottish Premiership | Celtic (H) | 0-2 | 1.69 | 3.56 | 0.56 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Dundee (A) | 2-1 | 1.03 | 1.58 | 0.99 | 0 | L |
| 15 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Aberdeen (H) | 0-4 | 0.73 | 1.14 | 1.02 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Rangers (A) | 1-0 | 0.98 | 4.52 | 0.15 | 0 | L |
| 2 Sep | Scottish Premiership | Dundee Utd (H) | 3-0 | 2.30 | 0.25 | 2.65 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Scottish Premiership | St. Mirren (A) | 3-3 | 2.03 | 2.60 | 1.10 | 1 | L |
| 9 Aug | Scottish Premiership | Falkirk (H) | 0-0 | 1.88 | 0.65 | 2.21 | 1 | W |
| 2 Aug | Scottish Premiership | Hibernian (A) | 1-2 | 1.55 | 2.33 | 0.95 | 3 | L |
| 16 May | Scottish Premiership | Hibernian (A) | 0-1 | 1.22 | 0.92 | 1.58 | 3 | W |
| 13 May | Scottish Premiership | Celtic (H) | 2-3 | 1.40 | 1.39 | 1.39 | 0 | W |
| 9 May | Scottish Premiership | Hearts (H) | 1-1 | 0.56 | 1.08 | 0.90 | 1 | L |
| 2 May | Scottish Premiership | Falkirk (A) | 1-0 | 1.21 | 2.39 | 0.72 | 0 | L |
| 26 Apr | Scottish Premiership | Rangers (A) | 2-3 | 0.60 | 2.44 | 0.36 | 3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Scottish Premiership | Hearts (A) | 3-1 | 1.37 | 2.12 | 0.94 | 0 | L |
| 4 Apr | Scottish Premiership | Falkirk (H) | 2-3 | 1.55 | 2.14 | 1.04 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | Scottish Premiership | Hibernian (H) | 0-0 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 1.21 | 1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Scottish Premiership | Celtic (A) | 3-1 | 0.62 | 2.13 | 0.47 | 0 | L |
| 7 Mar | Scottish Premiership | Dundee (A) | 2-1 | 1.71 | 1.21 | 1.71 | 0 | W |
| 28 Feb | Scottish Premiership | Dundee Utd (H) | 2-0 | 2.10 | 0.50 | 2.42 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Watt | midfielder | 11 | 967 | 0.48 | 2 | +1.52 | 0.05 |
| Alex Lowry | midfielder | 9 | 602 | 1.73 | 3 | +1.27 | 0.26 |
| Lukas Fadinger | midfielder | 19 | 1551 | 1.98 | 3 | +1.02 | 0.11 |
| Emmanuel Longelo | defender | 19 | 1580 | 2.11 | 3 | +0.89 | 0.12 |
| Jardell Kanga | midfielder | 7 | 273 | 0.11 | 1 | +0.89 | 0.04 |
| Dylan Levitt | midfielder | 5 | 156 | 0.21 | 1 | +0.79 | 0.12 |
| Liam Gordon | defender | 4 | 197 | 0.43 | 1 | +0.57 | 0.19 |
| Regan Charles-Cook | attacker | 13 | 452 | 0.61 | 1 | +0.39 | 0.12 |
| Callum Slattery | midfielder | 9 | 750 | 1.19 | 1 | -0.19 | 0.14 |
| Elijah Just | attacker | 11 | 938 | 1.39 | 1 | -0.39 | 0.13 |
| Ibrahim Said | attacker | 19 | 1152 | 1.41 | 1 | -0.41 | 0.11 |
| Eythor Bjørgolfsson | attacker | 11 | 194 | 0.65 | 0 | -0.65 | 0.30 |
| Tom Sparrow | midfielder | 19 | 1414 | 0.67 | 0 | -0.67 | 0.04 |
| S. Palmer-Houlden | attacker | 7 | 370 | 4.68 | 2 | -2.68 | 1.14 |
| Tawanda Maswanhise | attacker | 20 | 1525 | 7.25 | 4 | -3.25 | 0.43 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 23.8 | 23 | 10.9 | 5 | 18.1 | 24 | +5.9 |
| 2 | Dundee | 9 | 12 | 13 | 16.5 | 10 | 10.2 | 14 | +3.8 |
| 3 | Rangers | 9 | 20.4 | 13 | 9.2 | 7 | 18.6 | 20 | +1.4 |
| 4 | St. Johnstone | 9 | 12.9 | 11 | 14.3 | 11 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 10.7 | 10 | 22.4 | 20 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| 6 | Hearts | 9 | 17.4 | 20 | 12.6 | 15 | 15.6 | 16 | +0.4 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 9 | 9.7 | 9 | 15.8 | 12 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 9 | 11.6 | 10 | 13.7 | 10 | 11.1 | 11 | -0.1 |
| 9 | Dundee United | 9 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 9 | 13.5 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| 11 | Motherwell | 9 | 15.6 | 11 | 18.5 | 16 | 11.8 | 8 | -3.8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 15.8 | 9 | 13.4 | 14 | 14.2 | 7 | -7.2 |