No, Monterrey have taken 17 points over 11 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, within 0.91 of the 17.91 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Monterrey create 1.58 expected goals (xG) per game over 11 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 17.35 in all, and have scored 19 goals from those chances, 1.65 more than that xG would expect.
Monterrey allow 1.20 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 11 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 13.20 in all, and have conceded 16 goals from those chances, 2.80 more than that xGA would expect.
Lucas Ocampos has the most expected goals (xG) for Monterrey over 11 Liga MX games in 2026/2027, 1.15 xG in 9 appearances, and has scored 5 goals; Diego Rossi is next with 0.60 xG.
Monterrey's results and their chances agree, within 0.9 points of xPts over 11 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/27 | 11 | 17.35 | 19 | +1.65 | 13.20 | 16 | -2.80 | 17.91 | 17 | -0.91 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.56 | 16 | +0.44 | 11.51 | 14 | -2.49 | 16.46 | 14 | -2.46 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.22 | 6 | -0.22 | 5.06 | 6 | -0.94 | 7.60 | 8 | +0.40 |
| Home | 6 | 10.69 | 13 | +2.31 | 5.26 | 7 | -1.74 | 11.78 | 13 | +1.22 |
| Away | 5 | 6.66 | 6 | -0.66 | 7.94 | 9 | -1.06 | 6.13 | 4 | -2.13 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Liga MX | Pachuca (H) | 2-1 | 2.06 | 1.04 | 2.04 | 3 | W |
| 11 Oct | Liga MX | América (A) | 1-1 | 0.52 | 1.13 | 0.83 | 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | Liga MX | Atlante (A) | 4-2 | 1.49 | 1.49 | 1.38 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Liga MX | Cruz Azul (H) | 1-0 | 0.85 | 1.21 | 1.08 | 3 | L |
| 13 Sep | Liga MX | Tigres UANL (H) | 0-0 | 1.30 | 0.19 | 2.27 | 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Liga MX | Atlético San Luis (H) | 1-3 | 2.33 | 0.98 | 2.21 | 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | Liga MX | León (A) | 2-0 | 1.49 | 1.92 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 16 Aug | Liga MX | Juárez (H) | 6-1 | 2.36 | 0.15 | 2.73 | 3 | W |
| 2 Aug | Liga MX | Atlas (A) | 0-2 | 2.02 | 0.74 | 2.22 | 3 | W |
| 26 Jul | Liga MX | Necaxa (A) | 2-1 | 1.14 | 2.66 | 0.58 | 0 | L |
| 19 Jul | Liga MX | Santos Laguna (H) | 3-2 | 1.79 | 1.69 | 1.45 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Ocampos | attacker | 9 | 698 | 1.15 | 5 | +3.85 | 0.15 |
| Diego Rossi | midfielder | 10 | 696 | 0.60 | 4 | +3.40 | 0.08 |
| Hugo Cuypers | attacker | 10 | 746 | 0.20 | 3 | +2.80 | 0.02 |
| Jesús Corona | attacker | 10 | 638 | 0.42 | 2 | +1.58 | 0.06 |
| Roberto Carlos de la Rosa González | attacker | 5 | 151 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Jorge RodrÃguez | midfielder | 8 | 385 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| César Garza | midfielder | 4 | 314 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Luca Orellano | attacker | 10 | 642 | 0.03 | 1 | +0.97 | 0.00 |
| OrbelÃn Pineda | midfielder | 9 | 667 | 0.10 | 1 | +0.90 | 0.01 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlas | 12 | 17.5 | 19 | 20.4 | 18 | 14.8 | 21 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Querétaro | 11 | 17.5 | 15 | 19.2 | 13 | 14.6 | 20 | +5.4 |
| 3 | América | 11 | 21.5 | 27 | 14.9 | 14 | 19.3 | 24 | +4.7 |
| 4 | Puebla | 12 | 10.9 | 12 | 18.8 | 13 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| 5 | Pumas UNAM | 12 | 13.7 | 19 | 18.3 | 20 | 13.7 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 6 | León | 12 | 17.8 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16.5 | 18 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Guadalajara | 12 | 18.3 | 19 | 13.6 | 12 | 19.5 | 20 | +0.5 |
| 8 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 23.7 | 27 | 17 | 21 | 20.8 | 20 | -0.8 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 17.3 | 19 | 13.2 | 16 | 17.9 | 17 | -0.9 |
| 10 | Atlético San Luis | 12 | 14.7 | 16 | 19.4 | 21 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 | Toluca | 12 | 23.5 | 26 | 13.7 | 16 | 22.5 | 21 | -1.5 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 12 | 16.8 | 19 | 20.9 | 16 | 14.5 | 13 | -1.5 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 21 | 17 | 18.3 | 16 | 17.6 | 16 | -1.6 |
| 14 | Tijuana | 11 | 19.3 | 15 | 14.5 | 14 | 18.2 | 16 | -2.2 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 18.4 | 14 | 17.4 | 16 | 16.9 | 14 | -2.9 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 14.6 | 13 | 18.1 | 19 | 14.1 | 11 | -3.1 |
| 17 | Juárez | 12 | 11.5 | 8 | 23.6 | 31 | 10.1 | 4 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Necaxa | 12 | 21 | 15 | 19.8 | 25 | 17.3 | 9 | -8.3 |