No, Gençler have taken 19 points over their last 20 Super Lig games, within 0.89 of the 19.89 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Gençler create 1.05 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 21.06 in all, and have scored 15 goals from those chances, 6.06 fewer than that xG would expect.
Gençler allow 1.76 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 35.15 in all, and have conceded 30 goals from those chances, 5.15 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Franco Tongya has the most expected goals (xG) for Gençler over their last 20 Super Lig games, 3.14 xG in 19 appearances, and has scored 3 goals; Metehan Mimaroğlu is next with 2.57 xG.
Gençler's results and their chances agree, within 0.9 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 21.06 | 15 | -6.06 | 35.15 | 30 | +5.15 | 19.89 | 19 | -0.89 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.61 | 13 | +0.39 | 19.95 | 18 | +1.95 | 10.23 | 14 | +3.77 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.49 | 3 | -2.49 | 10.97 | 14 | -3.03 | 4.02 | 1 | -3.02 |
| Home | 11 | 11.82 | 11 | -0.82 | 18.38 | 15 | +3.38 | 11.37 | 12 | +0.63 |
| Away | 9 | 9.24 | 4 | -5.24 | 16.77 | 15 | +1.77 | 8.52 | 7 | -1.52 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Super Lig | Galatasaray (H) | 0-1 | 1.62 | 1.53 | 1.44 | 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | Super Lig | Amed SK (H) | 2-2 | 0.62 | 1.77 | 0.59 | 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | Super Lig | Başakşehir (A) | 4-0 | 0.48 | 2.46 | 0.30 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Super Lig | Kasımpaşa (H) | 1-2 | 1.55 | 1.65 | 1.32 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Super Lig | Trabzonspor (A) | 5-0 | 1.22 | 3.56 | 0.37 | 0 | L |
| 28 Aug | Super Lig | Erzurumspor (H) | 1-1 | 1.18 | 1.01 | 1.48 | 1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Super Lig | Göztepe (A) | 0-1 | 1.46 | 1.68 | 1.24 | 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | Super Lig | Fenerbahçe (H) | 2-1 | 0.67 | 3.11 | 0.25 | 3 | L |
| 17 May | Super Lig | Trabzonspor (A) | 0-3 | 1.84 | 0.88 | 2.03 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | Super Lig | Kasımpaşa (H) | 3-2 | 1.97 | 2.30 | 1.21 | 3 | L |
| 3 May | Super Lig | Fatih Karagümrük (A) | 1-0 | 2.15 | 0.78 | 2.25 | 0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Super Lig | Kocaelispor (H) | 1-0 | 1.25 | 0.97 | 1.57 | 3 | W |
| 18 Apr | Super Lig | Galatasaray (H) | 1-2 | 0.51 | 2.10 | 0.41 | 0 | L |
| 11 Apr | Super Lig | Başakşehir (A) | 3-0 | 1.05 | 3.00 | 0.44 | 0 | L |
| 4 Apr | Super Lig | Göztepe (H) | 0-2 | 0.98 | 2.21 | 0.66 | 0 | L |
| 19 Mar | Super Lig | Konyaspor (A) | 1-0 | 0.06 | 1.86 | 0.19 | 0 | L |
| 15 Mar | Super Lig | Beşiktaş (H) | 0-2 | 0.90 | 1.19 | 1.13 | 0 | L |
| 9 Mar | Super Lig | Alanyaspor (A) | 0-0 | 0.12 | 1.86 | 0.23 | 1 | L |
| 1 Mar | Super Lig | Kayserispor (H) | 0-0 | 0.57 | 0.54 | 1.31 | 1 | D |
| 21 Feb | Super Lig | Eyüpspor (A) | 1-0 | 0.86 | 0.69 | 1.47 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adama Traoré | attacker | 18 | 1262 | 2.10 | 3 | +0.90 | 0.15 |
| Rafael Filipe Gonçalves Soares Luís | midfielder | 5 | 274 | 0.20 | 1 | +0.80 | 0.07 |
| Ousmane Diabate | midfielder | 12 | 867 | 0.38 | 1 | +0.62 | 0.04 |
| Thalisson | defender | 14 | 1255 | 0.45 | 1 | +0.55 | 0.03 |
| Dimitrios Goutas | defender | 19 | 1661 | 1.04 | 1 | -0.04 | 0.06 |
| Franco Tongya | midfielder | 19 | 1577 | 3.14 | 3 | -0.14 | 0.18 |
| Oğulcan Ülgün | midfielder | 15 | 859 | 1.20 | 1 | -0.20 | 0.13 |
| Metehan Mimaroğlu | attacker | 12 | 798 | 2.57 | 2 | -0.57 | 0.29 |
| Göktan Gürpüz | attacker | 9 | 495 | 0.59 | 0 | -0.59 | 0.11 |
| Salih Uçan | midfielder | 7 | 201 | 0.61 | 0 | -0.61 | 0.27 |
| M'Baye Niang | attacker | 9 | 478 | 1.62 | 1 | -0.62 | 0.31 |
| Tiago Gouveia | attacker | 7 | 568 | 1.31 | 0 | -1.31 | 0.21 |
| Sékou Koïta | attacker | 16 | 876 | 2.41 | 1 | -1.41 | 0.25 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 9.1 | 8 | 14.4 | 9 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| 2 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13.8 | 8 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 11.2 | 16 | 11.1 | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| 4 | Galatasaray | 8 | 17.1 | 17 | 7.9 | 11 | 16.1 | 19 | +2.9 |
| 5 | Erzurumspor FK | 8 | 6.4 | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | Kasımpaşa | 8 | 9.6 | 12 | 10.6 | 9 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| 7 | Amed SK | 8 | 13.8 | 18 | 7.1 | 9 | 14.8 | 17 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 8 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Gençlerbirliği | 8 | 8.8 | 7 | 16.8 | 16 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 | Beşiktaş | 7 | 12.8 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| 11 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | 20.1 | 22 | 7.9 | 6 | 16.4 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 12 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 8 | 12.9 | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 | Gaziantep F.K. | 8 | 9.3 | 8 | 13.1 | 12 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 | Rizespor | 8 | 10.1 | 8 | 10.3 | 11 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 8 | 15.7 | 17 | 14.6 | 16 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| 16 | Eyüpspor | 8 | 6.5 | 2 | 14.8 | 22 | 7 | 3 | -4 |
| 17 | Konyaspor | 8 | 8.1 | 4 | 9.8 | 9 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Samsunspor | 8 | 10.7 | 7 | 10.8 | 19 | 10.5 | 4 | -6.5 |