No, Eyüpspor have taken 18 points over their last 20 Super Lig games, within 1.16 of the 19.16 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Eyüpspor create 0.83 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 16.59 in all, and have scored 17 goals from those chances, 0.41 more than that xG would expect.
Eyüpspor allow 1.55 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Super Lig games, 30.93 in all, and have conceded 35 goals from those chances, 4.07 more than that xGA would expect.
Umut Bozok has the most expected goals (xG) for Eyüpspor over their last 20 Super Lig games, 2.60 xG in 11 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Metehan Altunbaş is next with 2.09 xG.
Eyüpspor's results and their chances agree, within 1.2 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 16.59 | 17 | +0.41 | 30.93 | 35 | -4.07 | 19.16 | 18 | -1.16 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 8.23 | 9 | +0.77 | 17.68 | 25 | -7.32 | 8.91 | 7 | -1.91 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.97 | 0 | -3.97 | 11.73 | 19 | -7.27 | 3.50 | 0 | -3.50 |
| Home | 10 | 11.26 | 11 | -0.26 | 13.34 | 12 | +1.34 | 12.67 | 12 | -0.67 |
| Away | 10 | 5.33 | 6 | +0.67 | 17.59 | 23 | -5.41 | 6.49 | 6 | -0.49 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Super Lig | Erzurumspor (A) | 2-0 | 0.55 | 0.81 | 1.07 | 0 | L |
| 12 Oct | Super Lig | Göztepe (H) | 0-4 | 0.76 | 3.34 | 0.24 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Super Lig | Fenerbahçe (A) | 8-0 | 0.71 | 4.68 | 0.09 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | Super Lig | Rizespor (H) | 0-2 | 1.45 | 1.15 | 1.58 | 0 | W |
| 6 Sep | Super Lig | Çorum FK (A) | 3-0 | 0.50 | 1.75 | 0.52 | 0 | L |
| 30 Aug | Super Lig | Alanyaspor (H) | 2-1 | 1.70 | 0.70 | 2.08 | 3 | W |
| 23 Aug | Super Lig | Gaziantep (H) | 0-1 | 0.68 | 1.10 | 0.99 | 0 | L |
| 16 Aug | Super Lig | Beşiktaş (A) | 1-0 | 0.11 | 1.25 | 0.39 | 0 | L |
| 17 May | Super Lig | Fenerbahçe (A) | 3-3 | 0.34 | 1.69 | 0.43 | 1 | L |
| 9 May | Super Lig | Rizespor (H) | 4-0 | 1.43 | 1.21 | 1.52 | 3 | W |
| 3 May | Super Lig | Kayserispor (A) | 1-1 | 0.95 | 1.76 | 0.84 | 1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Super Lig | Gaziantep (H) | 3-0 | 1.63 | 0.77 | 1.98 | 3 | W |
| 18 Apr | Super Lig | Fatih Karagümrük (A) | 1-2 | 0.42 | 1.59 | 0.52 | 3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Super Lig | Samsunspor (H) | 1-2 | 1.66 | 1.32 | 1.60 | 0 | W |
| 5 Apr | Super Lig | Antalyaspor (A) | 3-0 | 0.44 | 2.05 | 0.38 | 0 | L |
| 18 Mar | Super Lig | Trabzonspor (H) | 0-1 | 0.47 | 1.27 | 0.71 | 0 | L |
| 15 Mar | Super Lig | Kasımpaşa (A) | 1-0 | 1.13 | 0.48 | 1.89 | 0 | W |
| 9 Mar | Super Lig | Kocaelispor (H) | 0-1 | 0.79 | 1.62 | 0.80 | 0 | L |
| 28 Feb | Super Lig | Göztepe (A) | 0-0 | 0.18 | 1.53 | 0.36 | 1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Super Lig | Gençler (H) | 1-0 | 0.69 | 0.86 | 1.17 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metehan Altunbaş | attacker | 11 | 664 | 2.09 | 5 | +2.91 | 0.28 |
| Mateusz Legowski | midfielder | 11 | 811 | 0.41 | 2 | +1.59 | 0.05 |
| Calegari | defender | 10 | 749 | 0.18 | 1 | +0.82 | 0.02 |
| Luccas Claro | defender | 7 | 575 | 0.18 | 1 | +0.82 | 0.03 |
| Ahmed Abdullahi | attacker | 7 | 478 | 0.32 | 1 | +0.68 | 0.06 |
| Talha Ülvan | defender | 20 | 1187 | 0.52 | 1 | +0.48 | 0.04 |
| Emre Akbaba | midfielder | 6 | 275 | 1.04 | 1 | -0.04 | 0.34 |
| Z. Jules | defender | 8 | 720 | 1.45 | 1 | -0.45 | 0.18 |
| Lenny Pintor | attacker | 18 | 698 | 0.58 | 0 | -0.58 | 0.07 |
| Umut Bozok | attacker | 11 | 989 | 2.60 | 2 | -0.60 | 0.24 |
| Charles-Andre Raux Yao | midfielder | 19 | 990 | 1.77 | 1 | -0.77 | 0.16 |
| Yusuf Barası | attacker | 8 | 287 | 0.82 | 0 | -0.82 | 0.26 |
| Bilal Boutobba | attacker | 8 | 401 | 0.98 | 0 | -0.98 | 0.22 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 9.1 | 8 | 14.4 | 9 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| 2 | Kocaelispor | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13.8 | 8 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 11.2 | 16 | 11.1 | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| 4 | Galatasaray | 8 | 17.1 | 17 | 7.9 | 11 | 16.1 | 19 | +2.9 |
| 5 | Erzurumspor FK | 8 | 6.4 | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | Kasımpaşa | 8 | 9.6 | 12 | 10.6 | 9 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| 7 | Amed SK | 8 | 13.8 | 18 | 7.1 | 9 | 14.8 | 17 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 8 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Gençlerbirliği | 8 | 8.8 | 7 | 16.8 | 16 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 | Beşiktaş | 7 | 12.8 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| 11 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | 20.1 | 22 | 7.9 | 6 | 16.4 | 16 | -0.4 |
| 12 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 8 | 12.9 | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 | Gaziantep F.K. | 8 | 9.3 | 8 | 13.1 | 12 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 | Rizespor | 8 | 10.1 | 8 | 10.3 | 11 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 8 | 15.7 | 17 | 14.6 | 16 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| 16 | Eyüpspor | 8 | 6.5 | 2 | 14.8 | 22 | 7 | 3 | -4 |
| 17 | Konyaspor | 8 | 8.1 | 4 | 9.8 | 9 | 9.7 | 5 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Samsunspor | 8 | 10.7 | 7 | 10.8 | 19 | 10.5 | 4 | -6.5 |