Aalborg BK xG 2024/2025

Aalborg BK expected goals 2024/2025: 2024/2025

Games: 32
Expected goals (xG): 43.24
Goals scored: 34
Goals minus xG: -9.24
Expected goals against (xGA): 56.70
Goals conceded: 67
xGA minus goals conceded: -10.30
Expected points (xPts): 37.38
Points: 24
Points minus xPts: -13.38
Verdict: Due an upturn

Are Aalborg BK overperforming their expected goals?

Aalborg BK have taken 13.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 32 games: -9.2 goals against their xG, and -10.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Aalborg BK results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
24/25	32	43.24	34	-9.24	56.70	67	-10.30	37.38	24	-13.38
Last 10	10	14.34	11	-3.34	15.39	26	-10.61	13.16	3	-10.16
Last 5	5	6.55	6	-0.55	6.81	12	-5.19	6.83	1	-5.83
Home	16	24.08	18	-6.08	30.45	34	-3.55	19.12	13	-6.12
Away	16	19.16	16	-3.16	26.25	33	-6.75	18.26	11	-7.26

Aalborg BK expected goals match by match, 2024/2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
24 May	Superliga	Lyngby (A)	3-1	1.00	1.01	1.34	0	L
18 May	Superliga	Silkeborg (H)	2-3	1.04	1.57	1.01	0	L
11 May	Superliga	Viborg FF (A)	3-1	1.31	2.26	0.84	0	L
5 May	Superliga	Sønderjyske (A)	2-2	2.10	1.53	1.74	1	W
28 Apr	Superliga	Vejle Boldklub (H)	0-1	1.10	0.44	1.90	0	W
20 Apr	Superliga	Sønderjyske (H)	2-3	2.16	2.59	1.18	0	L
16 Apr	Superliga	Silkeborg (A)	4-0	0.60	1.43	0.74	0	L
11 Apr	Superliga	Lyngby (H)	2-2	2.53	1.52	1.96	1	W
6 Apr	Superliga	Vejle Boldklub (A)	1-1	1.62	1.02	1.78	1	W
28 Mar	Superliga	Viborg FF (H)	0-4	0.88	2.02	0.67	0	L
16 Mar	Superliga	Sønderjyske (A)	0-3	2.16	0.26	2.60	3	W
9 Mar	Superliga	Midtjylland (H)	1-4	0.64	3.38	0.20	0	L
2 Mar	Superliga	Copenhagen (H)	0-0	0.83	1.15	1.10	1	L
26 Feb	Superliga	Nordsjælland (H)	1-2	2.28	2.76	1.16	0	L
23 Feb	Superliga	AGF (A)	4-0	0.24	2.91	0.13	0	L
29 Nov	Superliga	Brøndby IF (A)	1-0	0.92	1.46	0.98	0	L
24 Nov	Superliga	Viborg FF (H)	0-0	0.34	2.99	0.15	1	L
10 Nov	Superliga	Lyngby (A)	2-2	1.94	1.78	1.49	1	W
3 Nov	Superliga	Vejle Boldklub (H)	3-3	2.59	0.80	2.42	1	W
25 Oct	Superliga	Silkeborg (A)	1-1	1.17	1.37	1.23	1	L
20 Oct	Superliga	Randers FC (H)	0-2	2.78	2.19	1.71	0	W
4 Oct	Superliga	Vejle Boldklub (A)	2-2	1.25	1.59	1.15	1	L
29 Sep	Superliga	Sønderjyske (H)	3-0	1.91	1.35	1.74	3	W
23 Sep	Superliga	Copenhagen (A)	2-0	0.14	2.66	0.12	0	L
13 Sep	Superliga	Lyngby (H)	2-1	1.41	2.18	0.94	3	L
1 Sep	Superliga	Randers FC (A)	1-0	1.38	1.26	1.46	0	W
23 Aug	Superliga	AGF (H)	0-4	0.45	1.97	0.41	0	L
18 Aug	Superliga	Brøndby IF (H)	0-4	1.10	2.22	0.73	0	L
12 Aug	Superliga	Viborg FF (A)	2-3	1.47	2.06	1.04	3	L
3 Aug	Superliga	Midtjylland (A)	2-0	0.87	1.42	0.96	0	L

Aalborg BK players: goals against expected goals, 2024/2025

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Mathias Jørgensen	attacker	32	2880	8.91	10	+1.09	0.28
Nicklas Helenius	attacker	16	562	2.06	3	+0.94	0.33
Bjarne Pudel	defender	21	1691	0.16	1	+0.84	0.01
Mads Bomholt	midfielder	29	1463	2.18	3	+0.82	0.13
Malthe Højholt	midfielder	3	246	0.77	1	+0.23	0.28
J. Iredale	attacker	14	728	2.89	3	+0.11	0.36
Aaron Seydel	attacker	6	103	0.93	1	+0.07	0.81
Kasper Jørgensen	defender	30	2669	4.64	4	-0.64	0.16
Nóel Atli Arnórsson	defender	16	877	0.73	0	-0.73	0.07
Kelvin John	attacker	23	730	0.77	0	-0.77	0.10
Kasper Davidsen	midfielder	27	1783	0.86	0	-0.86	0.04
Jubril Adedeji	attacker	8	293	1.00	0	-1.00	0.31
Lars Kramer	defender	29	2523	1.22	0	-1.22	0.04
Melker Widell	midfielder	27	2226	4.67	3	-1.67	0.19
Isak Hansen-Aarøen	midfielder	14	766	1.79	0	-1.79	0.21
Andres Jasson	attacker	31	1514	3.32	1	-2.32	0.20
Oliver Ross	attacker	30	1865	5.18	2	-3.18	0.25

Superliga 2024/2025: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	FC Midtjylland	32	54.4	64	50.8	42	46.5	62	+15.5
2	FC København	32	55.2	60	35.6	33	55.8	63	+7.2
3	Silkeborg IF	32	44.3	56	44.9	41	44.6	49	+4.4
4	Randers FC	32	46.1	57	45.1	50	44.2	48	+3.8
5	Sønderjyske Fodbold	32	39.1	47	57.1	64	34.6	37	+2.4
6	Viborg FF	32	55.8	57	52.1	50	47	47	0
7	Brøndby IF	32	55.9	58	41.7	46	52.6	51	-1.6
8	Nordsjælland	32	54.2	53	42.2	56	50.1	46	-4.1
9	Lyngby Boldklub	32	34.3	26	54.8	43	31.8	27	-4.8
10	Vejle Boldklub	32	39.5	37	57.4	64	34.2	28	-6.2
11	Aalborg BK	32	43.3	34	56.7	67	37.4	24	-13.4
12	AGF	32	55	53	38.6	46	54.2	40	-14.2