Updated 29 October 2026.
FC Bayern München host Borussia Dortmund at the Allianz Arena on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 5:30pm UK, and the Bundesliga's top two arrive level on 17 points. Both are unbeaten after seven games, with five wins and two draws apiece. Bayern have the league's best attack, with 25 goals scored, and Dortmund its best defence, with 4 conceded.
Bayern lead the table on goal difference, +19 to Dortmund's +8. Bayern average 3.57 goals a game, the most in the division, while Dortmund have let in 0.57 per game, the fewest. We make Bayern 64% to win, against 17% for Dortmund and 19% for the draw, and 2-1 is our prediction.
Bayern top the Bundesliga table on 17 points from seven, with 25 scored and 6 conceded. They won 6-1 at home to RB Leipzig on 17 October, drew 2-2 with Arsenal in the Champions League on 21 October and won 3-1 at Freiburg on 25 October. Before those came a 3-3 draw at Viking in the Champions League and a 2-2 draw at Augsburg, and they are unbeaten in their last ten games in all competitions.
Their shots on target average of 10.14 per game is the most in the league, and they also lead on corners with 9.14. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 86% of their matches, the 3rd highest rate, and both teams have scored in 71% of them.
Dortmund sit 2nd, also on 17 points. They have kept a clean sheet in 71% of their games, the highest rate in the league, and only 29% of their matches have seen both teams score. Their latest league outing was a 1-0 win over Frankfurt on 24 October, after a 0-0 draw at Union Berlin and a 2-2 with Bremen. In between came a 2-1 win at Sabah and a 1-0 loss at Bodø / Glimt in the Champions League.
Dortmund score 1.71 goals a game, the 9th most in the league, and average 2.29 cards per game, the 4th most. Bayern average 0.86 cards, the fewest in the division.
FC Bayern München possible starting lineup:
Urbig; Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Davies; Kimmich, Bischof; Olise, Karl, Gnabry; Kane
Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Kobel; Gadou, Anton, Schlotterbeck, Ryerson; Nmecha, Veerman; Svensson, Sabitzer, Silva; Guirassy
Harry Kane has had at least two shots in seven straight league games, averaging 4.4, and he has put one on target in each of his last six. He is 1.04 at bet365 for 2+ shots and 1.12 at Ladbrokes for a shot on target.
Michael Olise has had three or more shots in five straight league games, averaging 4.6 across the run. He is 1.29 at bet365 for 3+ shots, and 1.67 at Ladbrokes for 2+ shots on target, which he has hit in four straight games.
Serhou Guirassy has had at least two shots in seven straight league games, at 3.3 a game, and is 1.53 at bet365 to do it again.
Waldemar Anton has committed a foul in four straight league games, averaging 2.0, and made a tackle in six straight, averaging 2.2. He is 1.44 at bet365 for a foul.
We make Bayern the likeliest winners at 64%, and the best price on a home win is 1.36 at Coral. The draw is 6.00 at Coral and Dortmund are 8.00 at Midnite. Both teams to score is 1.44 at bet365, and over 2.5 goals is 1.25 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern win | 1.36 (Coral) | 64% |
| Draw | 6.00 (Coral) | 19% |
| Dortmund win | 8.00 (Midnite) | 17% |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 (bet365) | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.25 (bet365) | 73% |
Our prediction is Bayern 2-1 Dortmund. The model projects 2.53 goals for Bayern and 1.27 for Dortmund, and 2-1 is the single likeliest scoreline at 9.1%, ahead of 1-1 at 7.7%. We give Bayern a 28% chance of a clean sheet and Dortmund 8%.
Bayern vs Dortmund in the 2026/27 Bundesliga kicks off at 5:30pm UK time on Saturday 31 October 2026 at the Allianz Arena. Bayern are 1st and Dortmund 2nd, both on 17 points after 7 games, and we predict a 2-1 home win.
We predict Bayern 2-1 Dortmund in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, the single likeliest scoreline at 9%, ahead of 1-1 at 8%. We give Bayern a 64% chance of winning, Dortmund 17% and the draw 19%, and project 2.53 goals for Bayern and 1.27 for Dortmund.
Bayern are favourites against Dortmund in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, and we give them a 64% chance of winning, with the draw on 19% and Dortmund on 17%. Both sides are unbeaten, with 5 wins and 2 draws from 7 games and 17 points each.
We give both teams to score in Bayern vs Dortmund in the 2026/27 Bundesliga a 67% chance, with over 2.5 goals at 73%. Both teams have scored in 71% of Bayern's league games but only 29% of Dortmund's, who have kept a clean sheet in 71% of theirs.
In Bayern vs Dortmund in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, Harry Kane has had 2+ shots in 7 straight league games and Michael Olise has had 3+ shots in 5 straight. Serhou Guirassy has had 2+ shots in 7 straight league games for Dortmund, at 3.3 a game.
Before Bayern vs Dortmund on 31 October 2026, Bayern are 1st in the 2026/27 Bundesliga on 17 points from 7 games and Dortmund are 2nd on 17 points too, with Bayern ahead on goal difference, +19 to +8. Each side has 5 wins, 2 draws and no defeats.
For the 5:30pm UK kick-off on 31 October 2026 in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, FC Bayern München's possible starting lineup against Borussia Dortmund is Urbig; Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Davies; Kimmich, Bischof; Olise, Karl, Gnabry; Kane, and Borussia Dortmund's possible starting lineup is Kobel; Gadou, Anton, Schlotterbeck, Ryerson; Nmecha, Veerman; Svensson, Sabitzer, Silva; Guirassy.