Updated 2 November 2026.
Derby County host Norwich City at Pride Park Stadium on Tuesday 3 November, kick-off 7:45pm UK. Derby have one win from 13 league games and sit 23rd, while Norwich arrive on the back of two victories in a row, including a 3-2 win over Watford on Saturday. The home side have the third-lowest goals-for average in the division, and Norwich's games have gone over 2.5 goals more often than anyone else's.
Derby County have 7 points from 13 games, with one win, four draws and eight defeats. They've scored 11 and conceded 25, and they lost 4-1 at Millwall on Saturday. Before that came a 1-1 draw at Sheffield United, a 0-1 home loss to Stoke, a 4-1 defeat at QPR and a 1-1 draw with Wrexham. They average 0.85 goals a game, the 3rd fewest in the league, and have kept a clean sheet in just 8% of matches. They do get stuck in, though: their fouls count is the 4th most in the Championship and their cards total the 3rd most.
Norwich City are 15th with 15 points from 13, five wins and eight defeats. They went through a run of six straight losses before beating Charlton 3-1 away and then Watford 3-2 at home. Their attack is the 4th most productive in the league at 1.77 goals a game, and they average 5 shots on target, also 4th most. At the other end they've conceded 1.85 a game, the 5th most, and haven't kept a clean sheet all season. Both teams scoring has landed in 69% of their games, the 4th highest rate, and 77% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals, the highest in the division.
Derby County possible starting lineup:
Widell Zetterström; Johnston, Robinson, Nyambe; Mowatt, Clark, Hedges; Brewster, Szmodics; Meister, Morris
Norwich City possible starting lineup:
Grimshaw; Stacey, Córdoba, McConville, Chrisene; Wright, Field; Brooks, Maghoma, Musaba; Kvistgaarden
Mathias Kvistgaarden leads Norwich's front line and has had a shot in five straight games, as well as committing a foul in six in a row. He is 1.25 at Midnite to commit a foul and 1.07 at bet365 to have a shot.
Jack Stacey has made at least one tackle in 10 straight games, averaging 3.1 a game. Derby's Ryan Hedges has made one in seven straight, averaging 2.6.
Henrik Meister has committed a foul in eight consecutive games, averaging 2.3, and is 1.11 at Midnite to make it nine. Carlton Morris has had a shot in five straight and is 1.14 at bet365.
Max Johnston has had a shot in four of his last five games and is 1.57 at bet365, Ladbrokes and Coral for a shot. Sammie Szmodics has managed two or more shots in four of his last five, averaging 2.2, and is 1.40 for 2+ shots.
We back Norwich City, who are 2.05 at Ladbrokes. Derby are 3.5 at bet365 and the draw is 3.7 at Ladbrokes. Both teams to score is 1.62 at bet365 and over 2.5 goals is 1.73 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County win | 3.50 (bet365) | 32% |
| Draw | 3.70 (Ladbrokes) | 27% |
| Norwich City win | 2.05 (Ladbrokes) | 41% |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 (bet365) | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 (bet365) | 55% |
Our projection has Derby on 1.33 goals and Norwich on 1.54. We predict 1-1, though we make Norwich the more likely winner at 41%, and a draw is in play at 27%. A 1-2 Norwich win is next on the list at 9%.
On the player markets, our projections for the match rank Derby's Max Johnston first for a shot.
Derby County vs Norwich City kicks off at 7:45pm UK on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at Pride Park Stadium in the 2026/27 Championship, with Derby 23rd and Norwich City 15th in the 24-team table after 13 games each.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Derby County vs Norwich City in the 2026/27 Championship, at 12.5% the likeliest scoreline. We still make Norwich City the more likely winner at 41%, with Derby County on 32% and a draw on 27%.
Norwich City are favourites for Derby County vs Norwich City in the 2026/27 Championship on 3 November, as we give them a 41% chance of winning, against 32% for Derby County and 27% for a draw.
We give both teams to score a 59% chance in Derby County vs Norwich City in the 2026/27 Championship, and over 2.5 goals 55%. Norwich City's games have gone over 2.5 goals 77% of the time this season, the highest rate in the league.
Derby County are 23rd of 24 in the 2026/27 Championship with 7 points from 13 games, while Norwich City are 15th with 15 points from 13. Derby have scored 11 and conceded 25; Norwich have scored 23 and conceded 24.
Mathias Kvistgaarden has had at least one shot in five straight games and committed a foul in six in a row heading into Norwich City's trip to Derby County in the 2026/27 Championship on 3 November, averaging 1.4 shots a game over the run.
Derby County could start Widell Zetterström in goal, with Szmodics, Meister and Morris in attack, in the 2026/27 Championship game against Norwich City on 3 November 2026. Norwich City could line up with Grimshaw in goal and Kvistgaarden up front.