Updated 2 November 2026.
Portsmouth welcome Swansea City to Fratton Park on Tuesday in the Championship, with kick-off at 19:45. The visitors arrive 2nd in the table with the best defensive record in the division, while Portsmouth sit 11th and are unbeaten in their last five. Swansea's goals-against average of 1.00 a game is the fewest in the league. We predict 1-1, with Swansea City marginally the likelier winners at 36% against 34% for Portsmouth.
Portsmouth are 11th on 19 points from 13 games, with five wins, four draws and four defeats. They are unbeaten in five: a 3-2 home win over Sheffield United, a 1-0 win at Norwich, a 1-1 draw at Wolves, a 2-1 win over Millwall and, on Saturday, a 0-0 draw at Burnley. At the back they have been solid, with the 5th fewest goals against and a clean sheet in 31% of their games, the 4th highest rate in the league. Up front it is thinner: they have the 8th fewest goals scored per game and the 5th fewest shots on target.
Swansea City are 2nd on 26 points, with eight wins, two draws and three defeats. They have the goals to go with the defence, averaging 1.54 a game, the 9th most in the league, and 4.77 shots on target, the 7th most. Their defensive record is the best in the division: the fewest goals against and a clean sheet in 46% of games, the highest rate going. Just 38% of their games have seen both teams score, the lowest in the league.
Swansea's recent results are mixed. They beat Blackburn 4-0 on Saturday, a week after a 5-0 defeat at QPR. Before that came a 1-0 home loss to West Ham, a 1-0 win at Millwall and a 2-1 win over Norwich. In the Championship table they are nine places and seven points above Portsmouth.
Portsmouth possible starting lineup:
Schmid; Swanson, Poole, Dia, Meghoma; Pack, Mohamed; Kamara, Segecic, Kavuma-McQueen; Milovanović
Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Vigouroux; Lissah, Cabango, Welsh, Tymon; Fulton, Widell, Eom; Okopu, Stewart, Idah
Iyad Mohamed has made a tackle in five straight games and averages 2.8 across the run.
Abu Kamara has committed a foul in six games in a row and is 1.30 at Midnite to make it seven.
For Swansea, Adam Idah has had two or more shots in each of his last four games and is 1.44 at bet365 for two or more again. Melker Widell has had a shot in each of his last five and is 1.29 at bet365 to do it again.
Josh Tymon has made a tackle in six straight games.
We make this a tight game, with Swansea City just ahead at 36% to win, Portsmouth 34% and the draw 30%. Bookmakers also have it close: Portsmouth 2.60 at Coral, the draw 3.40 at Coral and Swansea City 2.70 at Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth to win | 2.60 (Coral) | 34% |
| Draw | 3.40 (Coral) | 30% |
| Swansea City to win | 2.70 (Ladbrokes) | 36% |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 (Ladbrokes) | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 (Midnite) | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 (bet365) | 42% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 14%, with 0-0 next at 10%, though we make Swansea City marginally the likelier winners at 36% against 34% for Portsmouth. We project 1.17 goals for Portsmouth and 1.20 for Swansea City. Swansea have the lowest both-teams-to-score rate in the league and Portsmouth keep clean sheets at the 4th highest rate, so a low-scoring game is in play. We give over 2.5 goals 42%.
Portsmouth vs Swansea City in the 2026/27 Championship kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 3 November at Fratton Park. Swansea City are 2nd on 26 points and Portsmouth 11th on 19, after 13 games each.
Our prediction for Portsmouth vs Swansea City in the 2026/27 Championship is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 14%. We make Swansea City slightly more likely to win, at 36% against 34% for Portsmouth.
Swansea City are marginal favourites for Portsmouth vs Swansea City in the 2026/27 Championship on 3 November, with a 36% chance of winning against 34% for Portsmouth and 30% for the draw.
We give both teams to score a 49% chance in Portsmouth vs Swansea City in the 2026/27 Championship, and Swansea City's games have seen both teams score only 38% of the time this season, the lowest rate in the league.
Swansea City are 2nd in the 2026/27 Championship on 26 points from 13 games, while Portsmouth are 11th on 19 points from 13 games, seven points behind them ahead of the 3 November meeting.
Abu Kamara has committed a foul in six straight Championship games for Portsmouth ahead of the 2026/27 meeting with Swansea City on 3 November. Iyad Mohamed has made a tackle in five straight and averages 2.8 over that run.
For Portsmouth vs Swansea City in the 2026/27 Championship on 3 November, Portsmouth's predicted XI is Schmid; Swanson, Poole, Dia, Meghoma; Pack, Mohamed; Kamara, Segecic, Kavuma-McQueen; Milovanović. Swansea City's is Vigouroux; Lissah, Cabango, Welsh, Tymon; Fulton, Widell, Eom; Okopu, Stewart, Idah.