Updated 11 November 2026.
Bristol Rovers welcome Chesterfield to the Memorial Stadium on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 3pm UK. It's a League Two game between a home side struggling for results and a visitor that has more shots on target per game than anyone in the division. Chesterfield sit 10th on 19 points, Rovers 17th on 16, and our model leans towards the away side.
Rovers have won five of their 14 league games and lost eight, which leaves them 17th with 17 goals scored and 23 conceded. In their last five games in all competitions Rovers lost 1-0 at Shrewsbury, lost 1-2 to Salford, drew 0-0 with Swindon, lost 3-1 at Fleetwood and then beat Cambridge 2-0 in the FA Cup. That is one point from their last four league games.
Defensively they're a mixed bag. Rovers have kept a clean sheet in 36% of their games, the 3rd highest rate in the division, yet they concede 1.64 goals a game, the 5th most. Both teams have scored in only 43% of their games, the 5th lowest rate. They're also physical, with 13.21 fouls per game, the 3rd most in League Two, and they get 4.43 shots on target a game, the 6th most.
Chesterfield score 1.71 goals a game, the 3rd most, and both teams have scored in 71% of their matches, the 3rd highest rate. Their 5.71 shots on target per game is the most in the league. In their last five games in all competitions they lost 1-0 at Port Vale, drew 1-1 with Colchester, won 5-1 against Crewe, lost 4-1 at Newport and then won a 4-3 FA Cup tie with Yeovil. They have kept a clean sheet in only 14% of their games, the 6th lowest rate, and over 2.5 goals has landed in 57% of them, the 4th highest rate.
The League Two table puts seven places between them, but only three points.
Bristol Rovers possible starting lineup:
Young; Balmer, Gough, Kelly; James, Mola, Russell-Denny, Sparkes; Leigh; Forde, Cavegn
Chesterfield possible starting lineup:
Hemming; Gordon, McFadzean, Simpson, Hutton; McEachran, Stirk; Koroma, Marsh, Markanday; Bonis
George McEachran has made at least one tackle in 14 straight games for Chesterfield, averaging 3.3 a game. In attack, Josh Koroma has had a shot in 10 straight games, averaging 2.9 across that run, and Lee Bonis has done the same in nine, averaging 2.8.
For Rovers, Shaqai Forde has committed at least one foul in 13 straight games, averaging 2.2. Right-back Thomas James has had a shot in five straight games, averaging 1.4 across that run.
We make Chesterfield the likelier winner, and the best price on them is 2.30 at Ladbrokes. Bristol Rovers are 2.90 at Ladbrokes and the draw is 3.60 at Coral. Both teams to score is 1.62 at bet365 and over 2.5 goals is 1.75 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers win | 2.90 (Ladbrokes) | 34% |
| Draw | 3.60 (Coral) | 26% |
| Chesterfield win | 2.30 (Ladbrokes) | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 (bet365) | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 (bet365) | 57% |
We predict Bristol Rovers 1-1 Chesterfield, the likeliest single scoreline at 12%, so a draw is in play. We still make Chesterfield slightly more likely to win, at 40% against 34% for Rovers. Our model projects 1.41 goals for Rovers and 1.55 for Chesterfield, and puts the chance of both teams scoring at 60%. We also project 11.86 fouls and 2.08 yellow cards for Rovers, against 9.79 fouls and 1.89 yellow cards for Chesterfield.
Statz prediction: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Chesterfield
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield kicks off at 3pm UK on Saturday 14 November 2026 at the Memorial Stadium, in the 2026/27 League Two season. Chesterfield are 10th with 19 points from 14 games and Bristol Rovers 17th with 16 points.
We predict Bristol Rovers 1-1 Chesterfield in this 2026/27 League Two match, the likeliest single scoreline at 12%. We make Chesterfield slightly more likely to win, at 40% against 34% for Bristol Rovers.
Chesterfield are the favourites for Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield in League Two 2026/27, at 2.30 with Ladbrokes against 2.90 for Bristol Rovers. We give Chesterfield a 40% chance of winning, Bristol Rovers 34% and the draw 26%.
We give both teams to score a 60% chance in Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield in League Two 2026/27, and over 2.5 goals 57%. Both teams have scored in 71% of Chesterfield's league games, the 3rd highest rate in the division.
Josh Koroma has had a shot in 10 straight games for Chesterfield in 2026/27, averaging 2.9, and Lee Bonis has done so in nine, averaging 2.8. George McEachran has made at least one tackle in 14 straight games.
Chesterfield are 10th in League Two 2026/27 on 19 points from 14 games, while Bristol Rovers are 17th on 16 points. Rovers have won five and lost eight, with Chesterfield five wins, four draws and five defeats.
Predicted lineups for Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield in the 2026/27 League Two on Saturday 14 November 2026: Bristol Rovers may start Young; Balmer, Gough, Kelly; James, Mola, Russell-Denny, Sparkes; Leigh; Forde, Cavegn. Chesterfield may start Hemming; Gordon, McFadzean, Simpson, Hutton; McEachran, Stirk; Koroma, Marsh, Markanday; Bonis.