Updated 11 November 2026.
Northern Ireland host Ukraine at Windsor Park on Saturday 14 November, kick-off 19:45 UK, in UEFA Nations League League B. The hosts lead the group on 8 points from four games and haven't let in a goal. Ukraine are 3rd on 4 points and arrive having lost to Hungary last time out.
The two sides have already met this autumn: Northern Ireland won 3-0 away on 2 October.
Northern Ireland lead their League B group with two wins and two draws from four, and four goals scored with none against. They have kept a clean sheet in all four games, the highest rate in the competition. Their last two games were a 0-0 draw with Georgia and that 3-0 win in Ukraine, and before those came a 0-0 draw with Hungary and a 1-0 win away to Georgia. They don't score freely, though: one goal a game is the 27th fewest in the competition.
Ukraine are 3rd with 4 points from four, one win, one draw and two defeats, and a goal difference of minus three. They've scored two and conceded five, and the latest result was a 1-2 home loss to Hungary. Before that came the 3-0 home defeat to Northern Ireland, a 0-0 draw away to Georgia and a 1-0 win in Hungary.
Ukraine average 2.25 shots on target a game, the 7th fewest, and 3.75 cards a game, the most in the competition. They also commit the 7th most fouls, at 14.5 a game.
Northern Ireland possible starting lineup:
Charles; Atcheson, McConville, Brown, Hume; Galbraith, S. Charles, Devenny; Donley, Price, Kelly
Ukraine possible starting lineup:
Trubin; Krupskyi, Zabarnyi, Matvienko, Mykolenko; Nazaryna, Yarmolyuk; Ocheretko, Sudakov, Krasnopir; Vanat
Isaac Price has had a shot on target in four straight games, and he's 1.50 at bet365 to make it five. He's also had at least one shot in each of those four.
Trai Hume has made two or more tackles in four straight games, averaging four a game, and is 1.40 at bet365 to do it again from right-back.
Jamie Paul Donley has had a shot in four in a row, two a game on average, and is 1.11 at bet365 to keep that going.
Oleg Ocheretko has made a tackle and committed a foul in four straight games, averaging three tackles a game. He is 1.18 at bet365 to commit a foul and 1.14 to make a tackle.
Yegor Nazaryna has also fouled in four straight games, at 1.5 a game, and is 1.14 at bet365 to foul again.
We back Northern Ireland, who are 2.38 at BoyleSports to win. Ukraine are 3.25 at Midnite and the draw is 3.10 at Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland win | 2.38 (BoyleSports) | 41% |
| Draw | 3.10 (Ladbrokes) | 29% |
| Ukraine win | 3.25 (Midnite) | 30% |
| Both teams to score | 2.10 (bet365) | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.50 (bet365) | 37% |
We predict a 1-0 win for Northern Ireland, the likeliest single score, with 1-1 almost level with it and the draw itself at 29%. Northern Ireland have kept a clean sheet in all four games, and we make them 37% to keep another. We put over 2.5 goals at 37% as well.
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27 (League B) kicks off at 19:45 UK on Saturday 14 November 2026 at Windsor Park. Northern Ireland lead the group on 8 points from 4 games, with Ukraine 3rd on 4.
We predict a 1-0 Northern Ireland win over Ukraine in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, with a 41% chance of a home victory. A 1-1 draw is almost as likely a scoreline at 13%, and a draw overall is 29%.
Northern Ireland are favourites at 2.38 with BoyleSports for the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League match on 14 November. Ukraine are 3.25 at Midnite and the draw is 3.10, and we give the hosts a 41% chance.
We give both teams to score a 44% chance in Northern Ireland vs Ukraine in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, with over 2.5 goals at 37%. Northern Ireland have kept 4 clean sheets in 4 games this campaign.
Isaac Price has had a shot on target in 4 straight games for Northern Ireland going into the Ukraine match in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, and is 1.50 at bet365 to make it 5. He has also had at least one shot in each of those four.
Northern Ireland lead their 2026/27 UEFA Nations League League B group on 8 points from 4 games, unbeaten with no goals conceded. Ukraine are 3rd on 4 points from 4, with one win, one draw and two defeats.
Predicted lineups for Northern Ireland vs Ukraine in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Saturday 14 November 2026: Northern Ireland may start Charles; Atcheson, McConville, Brown, Hume; Galbraith, S. Charles, Devenny; Donley, Price, Kelly. Ukraine may start Trubin; Krupskyi, Zabarnyi, Matvienko, Mykolenko; Nazaryna, Yarmolyuk; Ocheretko, Sudakov, Krasnopir; Vanat.