Updated 11 November 2026.
Milton Keynes Dons welcome Burton Albion to Stadium mk on Saturday 14 November, kick-off 3pm UK, and the hosts arrive with the better recent run. MK Dons have won their last four in all competitions, including a 6-1 win over Doncaster, while Burton have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five. The hosts sit 12th in League One and Burton 15th, a point apart, with MK Dons having played a game fewer.
We make MK Dons the likelier winners, giving them a 54% chance against 20% for Burton, with the draw at 26%.
MK Dons are 12th in the League One table with 18 points from 13 games, a record of four wins, six draws and three defeats. They won 1-0 at Stevenage on 24 October, beat Bromley 4-1 on 27 October and Doncaster 6-1 on 31 October, then won 2-1 against Swindon in the FA Cup on 7 November. That run followed a 2-0 loss at Blackpool on 20 October. Their 1.69 goals per game is the 5th most in the division, and both teams have scored in 69% of their matches, the 6th highest figure.
Burton are 15th with 17 points from 14 games, four wins, five draws and five defeats. They lost 2-0 at Wycombe on 31 October but bounced back in the FA Cup with a 4-0 win over AFC Rushden & Diamonds. Before that came a 2-1 home win over Orient, a goalless draw with Bradford and a 2-2 at Peterborough.
Burton score 1.29 a game, the 9th fewest in the division, and concede 1.5, the 12th most. They have kept a clean sheet in only 14% of their games, the 6th lowest rate in the division, and 64% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals, the 3rd highest. MK Dons concede 1.54 a game, the 9th most in the division. Burton also win just 4.29 corners a game, the 5th fewest in League One.
MK Dons possible starting lineup:
Dennis; Jones, Ekpiteta, Goode, Campbell; Wintle, Gilbey; Silvera, Fullah, Ben Wiles; Collins
Burton possible starting lineup:
Addai; Tilt, Lewis, Sibbick; Adiele, Chauke, Collar, Rodrigues; Webster, Arubi; O'Mahony
For MK Dons, A. Collins has had a shot in 10 straight games, averaging 3.7 a game. Sam Silvera has made a tackle in five straight games, averaging 2.2 a game.
For Burton, Curtis Tilt has made a tackle in 13 straight games and had at least one foul in the same 13, averaging 1.5 tackles and 1.9 fouls a game. C. Webster has had a shot in 11 straight games, averaging 2.1 a game.
MK Dons are the favourites at 1.67 with Ladbrokes. We give them a 54% chance, with the draw at 26% and Burton at 20%. Both teams to score is 1.67 at bet365 and the same price is on offer for over 2.5 goals.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| MK Dons win | 1.67 (Ladbrokes) | 54% |
| Draw | 4.00 (Ladbrokes) | 26% |
| Burton win | 4.60 (Ladbrokes) | 20% |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 (bet365) | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 (bet365) | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 (bet365) | 74% |
1-1 is the likeliest single score at 12%, so a draw is in play, though we make MK Dons the likelier winners at 54% to Burton's 20%. Our prediction is a 1-1 draw, with 1-0 and 2-0 to the hosts the next most probable scorelines. We project 1.67 goals for MK Dons and 0.94 for Burton, and MK Dons keep a clean sheet 39% of the time in our model, Burton 19%.
MK Dons vs Burton in League One kicks off at 3pm UK on Saturday 14 November 2026 at Stadium mk. It is the 2026/27 regular season fixture, with the hosts 12th and Burton 15th in the table.
Our prediction for MK Dons vs Burton in League One 2026/27 is a 1-1 draw, the single likeliest scoreline at 12%. We still make MK Dons the more likely winners, giving them a 54% chance against 20% for Burton.
MK Dons are favourites to beat Burton in League One 2026/27, priced at 1.67 with Ladbrokes, and our model gives them a 54% chance of winning. Burton are 4.60 at best, with the draw at 4.00.
Our model gives both teams to score in MK Dons vs Burton a 51% chance, and bet365 offer 1.67. Both teams have scored in 69% of MK Dons' League One games and 64% of Burton's this 2026/27 season.
Ahead of MK Dons vs Burton in League One 2026/27, A. Collins has had a shot in 10 straight games and Sam Silvera has made a tackle in five straight for MK Dons. Burton's Curtis Tilt has made a tackle in 13 straight games.
Ahead of MK Dons vs Burton in League One, MK Dons are 12th with 18 points from 13 matches and Burton are 15th with 17 points from 14. MK Dons are a point ahead in the 2026/27 table, having played a game fewer.
Predicted lineups for MK Dons vs Burton in the 2026/27 League One on Saturday 14 November 2026: MK Dons may start Dennis; Jones, Ekpiteta, Goode, Campbell; Wintle, Gilbey; Silvera, Fullah, Ben Wiles; Collins. Burton may start Addai; Tilt, Lewis, Sibbick; Adiele, Chauke, Collar, Rodrigues; Webster, Arubi; O'Mahony.