Updated 11 November 2026.
Rochdale host York City at Crown Oil Arena on Saturday 14 November, kick-off 15:00 UK, in League Two. Rochdale are 20th in the League Two table on 15 points and have shipped more goals per game than anyone in the division. York are 7th on 20 points, 13 places and 5 points higher, and score the 3rd most goals per game. Both came through FA Cup ties last weekend, Rochdale winning 2-1 at Fleetwood and York beating Northampton 4-0.
Rochdale have won 4 of their 14 league games and lost 7, with 17 scored and 26 conceded. They score 1.21 goals a game, the 11th fewest in League Two. Their four league games before the cup tie were a 3-2 defeat at Crewe, a 2-2 draw with Grimsby, a 0-5 home loss to Accrington and a 4-2 defeat at Port Vale. They conceded 3 or more in three of those four, before the 2-1 cup win at Fleetwood. They have the fewest shots on target in the division at 3.07 a game, yet 64% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 3rd highest rate.
York sit 7th with 5 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats, 24 scored and 21 against. Their last two league games were heavy defeats, 3-1 at Barnet and 5-2 at Grimsby, before a 4-0 cup win over Northampton. Before the Barnet loss they beat Port Vale 2-0 and drew 1-1 with Accrington. They average 4.43 shots on target, the 6th most in the division, and 71% of their games have seen both teams score, the 3rd highest rate. They also commit the fewest fouls in the league at 8.79 a game, and they have kept a clean sheet in 21% of their games, the 9th lowest rate.
Rochdale possible starting lineup:
Waller; Tasker, Flint, Wilson, Adebayo-Rowling; Gilmour, Francis; Hannant, Silcott-Duberry, Middleton; Brown
York possible starting lineup:
McNally; Medley, Johnson, Fallowfield; Boyes, Read, Hunt, Felix; Grey, Banks; Pearce
Dajaune Brown has had at least one shot in 14 straight games for Rochdale, averaging 2.4 a game over the run. The striker has also committed a foul in eight straight games, at 1.9 a game.
Also for Rochdale, Harvey Gilmour has made a tackle in 9 straight games, averaging 2.1 a game, and right-back Tobi Adebayo-Rowling has also made a tackle in 9 straight games, at 1.6 a game. Centre-back Aden Flint has had a shot in 7 straight games, averaging 2 a game.
For York, Alex Hunt has made a tackle in 9 straight games, averaging 2 a game. Arthur Read has had a shot in 4 straight games, averaging 1.5 a game.
We back York City to win at 1.75 with Ladbrokes. Rochdale are 4.2 and the draw is 4.0. In the goals markets, both teams to score is 1.62 at bet365, over 1.5 goals is 1.18 at bet365 and over 2.5 goals is 1.60 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rochdale win | 4.20 (Ladbrokes) | 23% |
| Draw | 4.00 (bet365) | 25% |
| York City win | 1.75 (Ladbrokes) | 52% |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 (bet365) | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 (bet365) | 57% |
We project York for 1.81 goals and Rochdale for 1.16, and we make a Rochdale clean sheet 16% likely against 31% for York. We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 12%, though we make York 52% to win, against 23% for Rochdale and 25% for the draw. Over 1.5 goals is 80% in our model.
Rochdale vs York City kicks off at 15:00 UK on Saturday 14 November 2026 at Crown Oil Arena. It is a League Two fixture in the 2026/27 season, with both sides coming off FA Cup ties the weekend before.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Rochdale vs York City in League Two 2026/27, the likeliest single score at 12%. Our model still gives York a 52% chance of winning, against 23% for Rochdale and 25% for the draw.
York City are 1.75 favourites with Ladbrokes for the League Two game at Crown Oil Arena on 14 November. Rochdale are 4.2 and the draw is 4.0, and our model also makes York the most likely winner at 52%.
Both teams to score has a 58% chance in Rochdale vs York City in League Two 2026/27, and it is 1.62 at bet365. 71% of York City's games have seen both sides score, the 3rd highest rate in the division this season.
York City are 7th on 20 points from 14 games in League Two, while Rochdale are 20th on 15 points from 14. That is a gap of 13 places and 5 points in the 2026/27 season, ahead of Saturday's meeting at Crown Oil Arena.
Dajaune Brown has had at least 1 shot in 14 straight games for Rochdale ahead of their League Two 2026/27 game against York City, averaging 2.4 a game over the run. He has also committed a foul in 8 straight games, at 1.9 a game.
Predicted lineups for Rochdale vs York in the 2026/27 League Two on Saturday 14 November 2026: Rochdale may start Waller; Tasker, Flint, Wilson, Adebayo-Rowling; Gilmour, Francis; Hannant, Silcott-Duberry, Middleton; Brown. York may start McNally; Medley, Johnson, Fallowfield; Boyes, Read, Hunt, Felix; Grey, Banks; Pearce.