FC København welcome Odense BK to Parken on Monday 26 October, with kick-off at 18:00 UK. The hosts sit 2nd in the Superliga on 25 points from 11 games, while Odense are 7th on 13. The match sets the division's most productive attack against its least productive one, and the first meeting between the two this season, in September, finished Odense BK 0-5 Copenhagen.
The hosts have scored 25 goals and conceded 11, and they average 2.27 goals a game, the most in the league. Odense average 0.91, the fewest.
FC København have won 8 of their 11 league games and lost two. They concede 1.00 goals a game, the fewest in the division, and they have kept a clean sheet in 45% of games, the highest rate in the league. They sit 2nd in the Superliga standings.
They drew 2-2 away at Crvena Zvezda in the Europa Conference League on 22 October, and four days earlier they drew at home in the league, Copenhagen 1-1 AGF. Before that came a Copenhagen 3-0 Braga win in the same European competition and a Midtjylland 2-1 Copenhagen defeat in the league. They had won six in a row in all competitions before that loss. They average 5.18 shots on target a game, the 2nd most in the league.
Odense have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 4. They beat Brøndby at home in their last outing, Odense BK 2-1 Brøndby IF, and before that they drew Nordsjælland 0-0 Odense BK and Odense BK 1-1 Midtjylland. A 2-1 win at Randers came before those two draws. They average 4.00 shots on target a game, the 2nd fewest, though they concede 1.36 goals a game, the 5th fewest in the league. They also commit 12.91 fouls a game, the 4th most, and they pick up the 4th most cards at 2.18 a game.
FC København possible starting lineup:
Ramaj; Beijmo, Sörensen, Markgráf, López; Madsen, Clem, Robert; Carrizo, Elyounoussi, Cornelius
Odense BK possible starting lineup:
Myhra; Yttergård Jenssen, Pauli, Berthel Askou, McCoy; Andersen, Ulvestad, Ouédraogo; Gammelgaard, Ganaus, Keskinen
Mohamed Elyounoussi has had two or more shots in 10 straight games, averaging 2.9 a game across the run. He is 1.07 at bet365 to keep it going.
William Clem has had two or more shots in four straight games and at least one tackle in seven straight. His price for two or more shots is 2.63 at bet365. M. Madsen has had a shot in four straight games, averaging 2.5 a game across the run, and is 1.04 at bet365 for another.
For Odense, Topi Keskinen has had a shot in four straight games, averaging 3.3 a game across the run, and is 1.30 at bet365 for another. Julius Berthel Askou has made a tackle in eight straight games, averaging 2.9 a game, and Julian Pauli has committed a foul in five straight games.
We back FC København to win, and bet365 have them at 1.45.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| FC København win | 1.45 | 64% |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20% |
| Odense BK win | 6.25 | 16% |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 65% |
Our model projects 2.26 goals for FC København and 1.08 for Odense. The likeliest score is 2-1, and the home side keep a clean sheet in about a third of simulations. A 1-1 draw is in play as the second most likely scoreline, with 2-0 only just behind.
Statz prediction: FC København 2-1 Odense BK.