AC Milan welcome Bologna to the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 17:30 UK. Milan are the only side in this fixture without a league defeat this season, and Bologna arrive off a 2-0 win away at Cagliari. Milan have conceded seven goals in eight league games, while Bologna have scored eight.
AC Milan sit 5th in Serie A with 18 points from eight games: five wins, three draws and no defeats. They have scored 16 and let in seven, and in goals per game they rank 5th most at 2. They have conceded the 2nd fewest goals in the division at 0.88 a game, and have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their league matches, the 4th highest rate.
Milan won 2-0 at Udinese on Sunday in their latest league outing, three days after a 3-0 Europa League defeat at Bournemouth. Before that came a 3-2 win over Atalanta, a 4-0 win at Salzburg and a 1-1 draw at Sassuolo. Milan average 3.13 corners a game, the fewest in Serie A.
Bologna are 13th with 8 points from eight: two wins, two draws and four defeats. They score one goal a game, the 5th fewest, and put 3.75 shots on target per game, the 3rd fewest. They commit 12.75 fouls a game, the 2nd most in Serie A.
Bologna won 2-0 at Cagliari on Saturday, after a 3-1 home defeat to Inter and a 2-1 win at Lecce. Their earlier results include a 1-1 draw with Torino and a 1-0 loss at Napoli. They concede 1.25 goals a game, the 6th fewest, but have kept a clean sheet in only 13% of their league games.
AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Tomori, De Winter, Pavlović, Bartesaghi; Hutchinson, Musah, Jashari, Estupiñán; Pulisic; Gonçalo Ramos
Bologna possible starting lineup:
Skorupski; Theate, Casale, Darmian; Miranda, Moro, Pobega, Zortea; Cambiaghi, Odgaard, Bernardeschi
Gonçalo Ramos leads the line for Milan and has had three or more shots in each of his last three league games, averaging 3.7 over that run. He has also had a shot on target in each of those three, and a shot on target is 1.36 at bet365.
Tommaso Pobega has had a shot in seven straight league games, averaging 1.6 a game, and a shot from him is 1.36 at bet365. He has also made a tackle in five straight.
Nadir Zortea has had a shot in three straight and is 2.00 at Ladbrokes to make it four. At the back, Strahinja Pavlović has made two or more tackles in three straight games at 2.3 a game, with 1.83 at bet365 for another.
We make AC Milan the favourites, and the best price is 1.73 at bet365. Bologna are 5.25 at bet365 and the draw is 3.75 at Ladbrokes. Our projection has Milan scoring 1.57 goals to Bologna's 0.88 and winning 53% of the time, with Milan keeping a clean sheet 41% of the time.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan to win | 1.73 (bet365) | 53% |
| Draw | 3.75 (Ladbrokes) | 27% |
| Bologna to win | 5.25 (bet365) | 20% |
| Both teams to score | 1.95 (Coral) | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 (Coral) | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 (Coral) | 44% |
1-1 is the likeliest single scoreline at 12.8%, with 1-0 close behind on 12.7%. We predict AC Milan 1-1 Bologna, though we make Milan 53% to win. Bologna have gone over 2.5 goals in 38% of their league games and Milan in 50%.
In the player markets, Ramos on shots on target and Pobega on shots both arrive with a run behind them.