Updated 14 November 2026.
Estonia host Bulgaria at A. Le Coq Arena on Monday 16 November, kick-off 17:00 UK, in a UEFA Nations League League C game. Estonia have conceded once in five matches, the 2nd fewest per game in the competition, and have not lost. Bulgaria have conceded ten and are coming off a 5-0 defeat by Iceland.
The two met only a few weeks ago and drew 0-0 on 29 September, so the head-to-head this season is level. Estonia are 2nd in their group table on 9 points. Bulgaria are 3rd on 4.
Estonia have drawn three and won two of their five, scoring three goals and conceding one. The latest result was a 1-0 win away at Luxembourg on 13 November, following a 0-0 with Iceland and a 1-0 home win over Luxembourg. They have kept a clean sheet in 80% of their games, the 2nd highest figure in the competition, and their goals-against average of 0.2 per game is the 2nd fewest. They score 0.6 a game, the 14th fewest, and none of their five games has gone over 2.5 goals.
Estonia commit 14.8 fouls a game, the 4th most, and average 4.8 shots on target, the 21st most. They also average 4.2 corners, the 26th fewest, and 1.6 cards, the 13th fewest.
Bulgaria have lost three of their last five, with one win and one draw. They lost 0-5 to Iceland on 13 November, after a 2-0 win at Luxembourg and a 3-0 loss in Iceland. They concede 2 a game, the 10th most, and score 0.6, the same 14th-fewest rate as Estonia. They average 2.8 cards a game, the 8th most, and 60% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 15th highest rate. They have kept a clean sheet in 2 of their 5. At the other end they average 3.8 shots on target, the 23rd fewest, and 4 corners, the 25th fewest, and commit 12 fouls a game, the 24th most.
Maksim Paskotsi has had a shot in five straight games for Estonia, averaging 1.2 a game. Patrik Kristal has had a shot in four straight games at 1.8 a game, and Mattias Käit has made a tackle in four straight games at 2 a game. Markus Poom has also had a shot in four straight, averaging 1.8, and Rasmus Peetson has had a shot in three straight at 1.7 a game.
For Bulgaria, Atanas Iliev has had a shot in three straight games, averaging 3 a game, and has put one on target in each of them. Ilia Gruev has made a tackle in five straight games, averaging 1.4. Marin Petkov has made a tackle in four straight at 1 a game, Stefan Velkov has committed a foul in four straight at 2 a game, and Georgi Rusev has had a shot in three straight at 1.3.
Estonia are favourites at 2.20 with Ladbrokes, with the draw at 3.20 (bet365) and Bulgaria at 3.70 (Coral). Both teams to score is 2.20 at bet365, over 1.5 goals is 1.53 and over 2.5 goals is 2.63, both at bet365.
| Market | Best price |
|---|---|
| Estonia to win | 2.20 (Ladbrokes) |
| Draw | 3.20 (bet365) |
| Bulgaria to win | 3.70 (Coral) |
| Both teams to score | 2.20 (bet365) |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.63 (bet365) |
Estonia have kept four clean sheets in five and are unbeaten, while Bulgaria have conceded ten in five and have failed to score in three of them. The September meeting finished goalless.
Estonia vs Bulgaria in the UEFA Nations League kicks off at 17:00 UK on Monday 16 November 2026 at A. Le Coq Arena. It is a League C fixture in the 2026/27 competition and the second meeting of the two sides this season, after a 0-0 draw on 29 September.
Estonia are unbeaten in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, with 2 wins and 3 draws from 5 games, 3 goals scored and 1 conceded. They have kept a clean sheet in 4 of the 5 going into the match with Bulgaria on 16 November.
Estonia are the favourites at 2.20 with Ladbrokes for Estonia vs Bulgaria in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on 16 November. The draw is 3.20 at bet365 and Bulgaria are 3.70 at Coral. Estonia are 2nd in their group on 9 points.
Both teams to score is 2.20 at bet365 for Estonia vs Bulgaria in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League. Only 20% of Estonia's 5 games and 20% of Bulgaria's have seen both sides score, and their meeting in September ended 0-0.
Estonia are 2nd in their League C group on 9 points from 5 games in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, with Bulgaria 3rd on 4 points. Estonia have won 2 and drawn 3 with no defeats, while Bulgaria have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3.
Maksim Paskotsi has had a shot in 5 straight games for Estonia going into the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League match with Bulgaria, averaging 1.2 a game. Patrik Kristal and Markus Poom have each had a shot in 4 straight at 1.8 a game.