Updated 15 November 2026.
Mauritania and Burkina Faso meet in an Africa Cup of Nations qualifier on Tuesday 17 November, kicking off at 19:00 UK time. The sides met on 13 November and Burkina Faso won 1-0, four days earlier. It is the Group Stage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, and Burkina Faso are four points clear of Mauritania in the table.
Burkina Faso are 2nd in their group with 7 points from three games: two wins, a draw and no defeats. They have scored 3 and conceded 1. They drew 1-1 with Benin, won 1-0 against the Central African Republic and then beat Mauritania by the same single goal. They concede 0.33 goals a game and have kept a clean sheet in two of their three.
Mauritania are 3rd in the group with 3 points from three, having won one and lost two, with 4 scored and 4 conceded. The win was a 3-1 against the Central African Republic, and it was followed by a 2-1 defeat to Benin and the loss to Burkina Faso. Both teams have scored in two of their three games, and over 2.5 goals has landed in two of them. Mauritania average 17 fouls a game and Burkina Faso 19.67.
Burkina Faso average 1 goal, 6 corners and 2.33 shots on target a game. Mauritania average 1.33 goals, 3 corners and 4 shots on target a game, and they concede 1.33.
Several players have a three-game run in a stat across the group games. Aboubakary Koita, Mauritania's left winger, has had at least one shot in each of the three qualifiers, averaging 4 a game.
Burkina Faso's Lassina Traoré has also had a shot in all three games, at 1 a game, and at least one foul in each of the three, at 1.3 a game.
On fouls, Mauritania's Dawda Camara is committing 3 a game across a three-match run, and midfielder M. Bodda averages 2.7. For Burkina Faso, centre-back Edmond Tapsoba is also at 2.7 a game, with at least one foul in all three matches.
Winger Djeidi Gassama has made at least one tackle in each of three games for Mauritania, averaging 1, and also has a foul in each of the three, averaging 2.
The bookmakers have Burkina Faso narrowly ahead at 2.40 with midnite, with the draw at 2.90 and Mauritania at 3.10. We make it closer still: Mauritania 36% to win, the draw 32% and Burkina Faso 32%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Mauritania win | 3.10 | 36% |
| Draw | 2.90 | 32% |
| Burkina Faso win | 2.40 | 32% |
| Both teams to score | 2.20 | 38% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.53 | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 30% |
We predict a 0-0 draw, the single likeliest scoreline at 15%, with 1-0 to Mauritania level with it. A draw is in play, though we make Mauritania marginally the more likely winner. We project 1.00 goals for Mauritania and 0.93 for Burkina Faso. Mauritania's chance of a clean sheet is 40% and Burkina Faso's is 37%.
Projected team numbers are close too. Mauritania are at 8.10 shots and 2.92 on target, Burkina Faso at 7.89 shots and 3.03 on target. Burkina Faso lead on corners at 4.62 to 3.84, and on fouls at 16.46 to 13.48.
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications kicks off at 19:00 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026. It is a Group Stage fixture, played four days after Burkina Faso won the reverse fixture 1-0.
We predict a 0-0 draw for Mauritania vs Burkina Faso in the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 17 November, the likeliest single scoreline at about 15%. A 1-0 Mauritania win is just as likely, and we make Mauritania 36% to win, the draw 32% and Burkina Faso 32%.
Burkina Faso are marginal favourites with the bookmakers at 2.40 with midnite for Mauritania vs Burkina Faso in the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, against 2.90 for the draw and 3.10 for Mauritania. We have Mauritania slightly ahead at 36% to win.
We give both teams to score a 38% chance in Mauritania vs Burkina Faso in the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications on 17 November, with over 2.5 goals at 30%. Burkina Faso have kept clean sheets in two of their three qualifiers.
Burkina Faso are 2nd in their group with 7 points from three games and Mauritania are 3rd with 3 points, ahead of their 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications meeting on 17 November. Burkina Faso won the first meeting 1-0 on 13 November.
Mauritania's Aboubakary Koita has had at least one shot in 3 straight games, averaging 4 a game, going into Mauritania vs Burkina Faso in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers on 17 November 2026. Burkina Faso's Lassina Traoré is also on a three-game shooting run at 1 a game.