Updated 15 November 2026.
Liberia and Cape Verde Islands meet in an Africa Cup of Nations qualifier on Tuesday 17 November, kicking off at 19:00 UK, a rematch of a game played only four days earlier. Cape Verde Islands won that one 4-2, so Liberia are looking for a quick answer in a group where they have yet to pick up a point.
Cape Verde Islands have scored and conceded in all three of their qualifiers. Liberia have scored in two of their three and lost all three.
Liberia sit 4th in the group table with no points from three games. They have scored 3 and conceded 8, losing 4-2 to Cape Verde Islands on Friday after a 0-1 home loss to Mali and a 3-1 defeat at Rwanda. Their last win was a 3-1 friendly victory over Sierra Leone in June. They concede 2.67 goals per game in qualifying, and both teams have scored in two of Liberia's three games.
Cape Verde Islands are 3rd on 3 points in the qualifying table, with one win and two defeats, 6 goals scored and 7 conceded. They beat Liberia on Friday, but before that lost 2-1 to Rwanda and 3-1 away at Mali. Their summer included a 0-0 draw with Saudi Arabia and a 3-2 loss to Argentina at the World Cup.
Cape Verde Islands average 2 goals and 4.67 shots on target a game in qualifying, and commit 18.67 fouls a game. All three of their qualifiers have had both teams scoring and more than 2.5 goals. Liberia average 1 goal a game, with 3.33 shots on target a game.
Here are some of the player runs in qualifying for the two sides.
We back Cape Verde Islands to win, and midnite have them at 2.05 with Liberia at 3.60 and the draw at 3.10. Our model gives Cape Verde Islands a 46% chance of the win, the draw 30% and Liberia 24%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Liberia win | 3.60 | 24% |
| Draw | 3.10 | 30% |
| Cape Verde Islands win | 2.05 | 46% |
| Both teams to score | 2.00 | 38% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 32% |
Our prediction is Liberia 0-1 Cape Verde Islands. We project 0.78 goals for Liberia and 1.22 for Cape Verde Islands, who keep a clean sheet in 46% of our projection. A draw is in play at 30%, with 0-0 at 14% and 1-1 at 13% behind 0-1 at 16%.
On the player markets, Tweh and Kosiah are the Liberia names with recent shot runs, while Borges and Cabral have the foul runs on the Cape Verde Islands side. We project 3.44 shots on target for Cape Verde Islands to 2.57 for Liberia.
Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications kicks off at 19:00 UK on Tuesday 17 November 2026. It is a Group Stage fixture, played four days after Cape Verde Islands won the first meeting 4-2.
Our prediction for Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands in the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications is Liberia 0-1 Cape Verde Islands, the likeliest score at 16%. We give Cape Verde Islands a 46% chance of winning, with the draw at 30% and Liberia at 24%.
Cape Verde Islands are favourites to beat Liberia in this Africa Cup of Nations qualifier, priced at 2.05 with midnite. Liberia are 3.60 and the draw is 3.10, and our model makes it a 46% chance of a Cape Verde Islands win.
Both teams to score is a 38% chance in Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands in the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, with midnite offering 2.00. Over 2.5 goals is 32% in our model, while over 1.5 goals comes out at 59%.
In the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, Liberia are 4th with 0 points from 3 games, while Cape Verde Islands are 3rd with 3 points from 3. Cape Verde Islands won the first meeting 4-2 on 13 November.
Ahead of Liberia vs Cape Verde Islands in the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, Solomon Tweh has had at least 1 shot in 3 straight games for Liberia, averaging 2 per game, and Ayouba Kosiah has done the same at 1.7. Tweh has also made a tackle in all 3.