Iceland vs Luxembourg Predictions and Betting Tips

Updated 14 November 2026.

Iceland host Luxembourg at Laugardalsvöllur on Monday 16 November, kick-off 5pm UK. The hosts have conceded one goal in five Nations League games, the 2nd fewest per game in the competition, and the reverse fixture in Luxembourg finished 3-0 to Iceland on 29 September. Luxembourg have scored twice all campaign and lost four of their five.

Iceland are 1.33 with bet365 to win, with Luxembourg at 9.50 with BoyleSports and the draw at 5.25 with Ladbrokes.

How the teams arrive

Iceland lead the group standings on 11 points from five games, with three wins and two draws and no defeats. They have scored 12 and conceded one. They kept a clean sheet in four of the five, which is the 2nd highest rate in the competition, and they average 2.4 goals a game, the 4th most. Their latest outing was a 5-0 win away at Bulgaria on 13 November, and before that they drew 0-0 in Estonia and won 3-0 at home to Bulgaria. Their other draw was a 1-1 with Estonia in September.

Luxembourg are 4th in the group on three points. They won their opening game 2-1 away at Bulgaria and have lost every game since, most recently 1-0 at home to Estonia on 13 November. In between came a 2-0 home defeat by Bulgaria, a 1-0 loss in Estonia and the 3-0 loss to Iceland. They average 0.4 goals a game, the 7th fewest, concede 1.6, the 16th most, and haven't kept a clean sheet yet.

Both teams have scored in just one of Iceland's five games and one of Luxembourg's five. Iceland average 5.2 shots on target a game, the 15th most, and 5.2 corners, the 16th most. Luxembourg average 4 shots on target, the 27th fewest, and 3.2 corners, the 14th fewest. Luxembourg also average 2.8 cards a game, the 8th most, against 2 for Iceland, the 25th fewest.

Players to watch

Hákon Arnar Haraldsson has made a tackle in five straight games, averaging 2.2, and has committed a foul in four straight.

Mikael Egill Ellertsson has had a shot in four straight games and a tackle in each of the same four, at 1.3 shots and 2.5 tackles a game. Victor Pálsson has made a tackle in four straight games at 2.8 a game, and Ísak Jóhannesson has made one in four straight at 2.5 a game.

For Luxembourg, Vincent Thill has had a shot in five straight games at 1.8 a game, and has also committed a foul in each of them. Omar Natami has had a shot in three straight games, averaging 3 a game. Tomás Moreira has also had a shot in three straight, at 1.3 a game, and Enes Mahmutovic has made a tackle in three straight, averaging 2.

Match Leaders

Odds and best prices

Iceland are 1.33 favourites with bet365. Over 1.5 goals is 1.25 with bet365 and over 2.5 is 1.80 with bet365. Iceland average 2.4 goals a game and 3 of their 5 games have gone over 2.5 goals (60%, the 15th highest rate), against 2 of Luxembourg's 5 (40%).

MarketBest price
Iceland to win1.33 (bet365)
Draw5.25 (Ladbrokes)
Luxembourg to win9.50 (BoyleSports)
Both teams to score2.15 (Ladbrokes)
Over 2.5 goals1.80 (bet365)

Luxembourg have scored twice in five games and not at all in their last four, while Iceland have kept a clean sheet in four of their five. Both teams to score is 2.15 with Ladbrokes.

Iceland vs Luxembourg Questions

What time is Iceland vs Luxembourg?

Iceland vs Luxembourg kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Monday 16 November 2026 at Laugardalsvöllur. It is a 2026/27 UEFA Nations League League C fixture, and Iceland lead the group on 11 points from 5 games.

How have Iceland done in the 2026/27 Nations League?

Iceland have won 3 and drawn 2 of their 5 games in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, scoring 12 goals and conceding 1. They have kept a clean sheet in 4 of the 5 going into the match with Luxembourg on 16 November.

Who are the favourites for Iceland vs Luxembourg?

Iceland are the favourites at 1.33 with bet365 for Iceland vs Luxembourg in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on 16 November, with Luxembourg at 9.50 with BoyleSports and the draw at 5.25 with Ladbrokes. Iceland are unbeaten in 5, with three wins and two draws.

Will both teams score in Iceland vs Luxembourg?

Both teams to score in Iceland vs Luxembourg is 2.15 with Ladbrokes, and it has landed in only 1 of 5 matches for each side in the 2026/27 Nations League. Iceland have kept 4 clean sheets in 5, while Luxembourg have scored just 2 goals.

Where are Iceland and Luxembourg in their Nations League group?

Iceland lead their League C group on 11 points from 5 games and Luxembourg are 4th on 3 points, in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League. Iceland have won 3 and drawn 2, while Luxembourg have won 1 and lost 4.

Which Luxembourg player is in form before the Iceland game?

Vincent Thill has had a shot in 5 straight games for Luxembourg, averaging 1.8 a game, going into the 2026/27 Nations League match at Iceland. Omar Natami has had a shot in 3 straight games, averaging 3 a game.

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