Updated 15 November 2026.
Hungary host Northern Ireland at the Puskás Aréna on Tuesday 17 November, kick-off 19:45 UK, in the UEFA Nations League. Northern Ireland have not conceded in five games and Hungary have let in two, the two lowest figures in their League B group.
Northern Ireland are 1st in their League B group on 11 points and Hungary are 2nd on 10 in the Nations League standings.
Hungary have won their last three games, after a 0-0 draw at Northern Ireland and a 1-0 home loss to Ukraine in September. They beat Georgia 1-0 at home, won 2-1 away to Ukraine, and most recently took a 2-0 win away to Georgia on Saturday. They concede 0.4 goals a game, the 6th fewest in the competition, and have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games, the 7th highest rate.
Northern Ireland are unbeaten, with three wins and two draws from five. Their 1-0 win over Ukraine on Saturday followed a 0-0 draw with Georgia and a 3-0 win away to Ukraine. They have the fewest goals against in the competition and a 100% clean-sheet record, though they have scored just five times themselves, level with Hungary on 1.0 a game.
Their only meeting so far this campaign was a 0-0 draw on 28 September. Hungary commit 14.4 fouls a game, the 6th most, while Northern Ireland average 10.2, the 11th fewest.
Isaac Price has had a shot in five straight games for Northern Ireland, averaging 2.6 a game, and a shot on target in five straight too. He is 1.83 at bet365 for a shot on target.
Willi Orbán has had a shot in five straight games for Hungary at 2.4 a game, and is 2.25 at bet365 to make it six. András Schäfer has also had a shot in five straight games, averaging 1.6.
Jamie Paul Donley has had a shot in five straight games for Northern Ireland at 2.2 a game, while Trai Hume has made at least one tackle in five straight games, averaging 3.4. Hungary's Márk Csinger matches that run with a tackle in five straight at 2.6 a game.
Callum Styles has had a shot in each of Hungary's last five games and is 1.62 at bet365 for a shot, while Attila Szalai has committed a foul in each of his last five and is 1.29 at bet365 for a foul.
We back Hungary at 2.00 with Ladbrokes, and our model makes them 50% to win. The draw is 3.30 at bet365 and Northern Ireland are 4.20 at the same firm.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Hungary to win | 2.00 (Ladbrokes) | 50% |
| Draw | 3.30 (bet365) | 27% |
| Northern Ireland to win | 4.20 (bet365) | 23% |
| Both teams to score | 2.20 (bet365) | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.44 (bet365) | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.50 (bet365) | 39% |
We predict a 1-0 Hungary win. That is the likeliest single score at 15%, and a 1-1 draw is next at 13%, so a draw is in play. We project Hungary for 1.4 goals and Northern Ireland for 0.84, with Hungary 43% likely to keep a clean sheet. Both sides have scored one goal a game, and we give over 2.5 goals a 39% chance.
Hungary vs Northern Ireland in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League kicks off at 19:45 UK on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at the Puskás Aréna. It is a League B fixture between the top two sides in the group.
Our prediction for Hungary vs Northern Ireland in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League is a 1-0 home win, the likeliest scoreline at 15%. A 1-1 draw is next at 13%, and the model gives Hungary a 50% chance of winning.
Hungary are the favourites in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, priced at 2.00 with Ladbrokes against 4.20 for Northern Ireland at bet365. The Statz model agrees, giving Hungary a 50% chance of winning to Northern Ireland's 23%.
We rate both teams to score in Hungary vs Northern Ireland at 43% in this 2026/27 UEFA Nations League game. Northern Ireland have kept 5 clean sheets in 5 games, and over 2.5 goals is 39% likely.
Isaac Price has had a shot in 5 straight games for Northern Ireland in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, averaging 2.6 per game. Hungary's Willi Orbán has also had a shot in 5 straight games, at 2.4 per game.
Northern Ireland are 1st in their League B group in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on 11 points from 5 games, and Hungary are 2nd on 10 points from 5. Northern Ireland have conceded 0 goals, Hungary 2.