Updated 12 November 2026.
Northern Ireland host Ukraine at Windsor Park, Belfast on 14 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Northern Ireland's last five results: L W D W D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Ukraine's last five: L W D L L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). In their last 1 meetings, Northern Ireland have won 1, Ukraine 0, with 0 draws.
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Windsor Park, Belfast. Windsor Park holds 3,000 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine is being played at Windsor Park in Belfast on Saturday 14 November 2026, the home ground of Northern Ireland, which holds 3,000 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of the UEFA Nations League.
Northern Ireland have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3, with results reading L W D W D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-0 draw at home to Georgia in the UEFA Nations League on 5 October.
Ukraine have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7, with results reading L W D L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat at home to Hungary in the UEFA Nations League on 5 October.
Across the last 1 meetings Northern Ireland have won 1, Ukraine have won 0 and 0 were drawn, with Northern Ireland scoring 3 goals to Ukraine's 0. The most recent was Ukraine 0-3 Northern Ireland on 2 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Isaac Price leads Northern Ireland with 21 shots across their last 10 games, 2.1 a game, the most of any Northern Ireland player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Northern Ireland player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Vladyslav Vanat leads Ukraine with 7 shots across their last 10 games, 0.7 a game, the most of any Ukraine player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Ukraine player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Northern Ireland vs Ukraine with 11 starters a side: Northern Ireland line up 4-3-3 and Ukraine 4-4-2, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Saturday 14 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Northern Ireland the favourite with a 41% chance of winning, against 30% for Ukraine and 29% for the draw. Projected goals are Northern Ireland 1.2 - 1.0 Ukraine.
The most likely score in Northern Ireland vs Ukraine is 1-0, a Northern Ireland win, at 13%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 44% likely and over 2.5 goals 37%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Northern Ireland vs Ukraine, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Ukraine vs Northern Ireland | 0-3 |
Statz's projection model expects Northern Ireland 1.2 - 1.0 Ukraine in goals. It gives Northern Ireland a 41% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Ukraine 30%. Both teams to score is 44% likely, over 1.5 goals 64% and over 2.5 goals 37%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%), 2-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Northern Ireland win | 13% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 11% |
| 0-1 | Ukraine win | 11% |
| 2-0 | Northern Ireland win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Northern Ireland vs Ukraine, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Northern Ireland | Fouls committed | Ukraine | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Galbraith | 10 | Y. Nazaryna | 8 |
| 2 | S. Charles | 10 | O. Ocheretko | 7 |
| 3 | J. Donley | 8 | M. Ponomarenko | 7 |
| 4 | R. McConville | 8 | V. Vanat | 6 |
| 5 | B. Spencer | 8 | V. Tsygankov | 6 |
| # | Northern Ireland | Shots | Ukraine | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Price | 21 | V. Vanat | 7 |
| 2 | J. Donley | 16 | O. Zubkov | 7 |
| 3 | S. Charles | 8 | V. Tsygankov | 6 |
| 4 | R. McConville | 7 | M. Ponomarenko | 5 |
| 5 | P. Kelly | 6 | G. Sudakov | 5 |
| # | Northern Ireland | Shots on target | Ukraine | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Price | 7 | O. Zubkov | 4 |
| 2 | J. Donley | 6 | R. Yaremchuk | 3 |
| 3 | J. Magennis | 2 | V. Vanat | 2 |
| 4 | P. Kelly | 2 | O. Gutsulyak | 2 |
| 5 | T. Hume | 2 | M. Ponomarenko | 1 |
| # | Northern Ireland | Goals | Ukraine | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Donley | 2 | O. Gutsulyak | 2 |
| 2 | C. Brown | 2 | R. Yaremchuk | 2 |
| 3 | I. Price | 1 | O. Zubkov | 1 |
| 4 | S. Charles | 1 | M. Ponomarenko | 1 |
| 5 | P. Kelly | 1 | D. Sikan | 1 |
| # | Northern Ireland | Yellow cards | Ukraine | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Ballard | 2 | Y. Nazaryna | 2 |
| 2 | E. Galbraith | 2 | D. Sikan | 2 |
| 3 | C. Hazard | 1 | M. Matvienko | 2 |
| 4 | R. McConville | 1 | Y. Konoplya | 1 |
| 5 | P. McNair | 1 | R. Malinovskyi | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Northern Ireland vs Ukraine: Ethan Galbraith 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.36); Isaac Price 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.57); Shea Emmanuel Charles 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.53); Jamie Paul Donley 1+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.25). Combined odds 4.08 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 14 of 54 |
| Goals against | 0 | 1 of 54 |
| Shots | 11.8 | 33 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4 | 32 of 54 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 40 of 54 |
| Tackles | 16.3 | 14 of 54 |
| Passes | 317.3 | 51 of 54 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 39 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.7 | 43 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 36 of 54 |
| Shots | 11.3 | 37 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 2.3 | 48 of 54 |
| Fouls | 14.5 | 7 of 54 |
| Tackles | 14.3 | 27 of 54 |
| Passes | 531.3 | 11 of 54 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 34 of 54 |