Girona welcome Elche to town in the La Liga with plenty on the line for both sides. The hosts sit 18th on 40 points while the visitors are 16th on 42 points heading into this one.
Let’s dig into the data on Statz and find the angles that matter.
Girona (Predicted): Paulo Gazzaniga, Arnau Martínez, Vitor Reis, Alejandro Francés, Álex Moreno, Iván Martín, Axel Witsel, Viktor Tsygankov, Thomas Lemar, Azzedine Ounahi, Joel Roca
Elche (Predicted): Matías Dituro, Víctor Chust, David Affengruber, Pedro Bigas, Héctor Fort, Aleix Febas, Marc Aguado, Gonzalo Villar, Germán Valera, André Silva, Álvaro Rodríguez
Girona come into this with form reading W L W D L L L D D L over their last 10 – that’s W2 D3 L5, scoring 10 and conceding 11.
Elche have gone L W L W W W L D L W in their last 10 – W5 D1 L4, 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Projected scoreline: Girona 1.84 – 1.08 Elche.
The Statz projections model highlights some interesting numbers here.
Viktor Tsygankov leads Girona’s projected goal threat at 0.30 xG, with 2.2 projected shots.
For Elche, André Silva tops the projections at 0.35 xG and 2.0 projected shots.
In the tackling department, Víctor Chust (Elche) leads the way with 2.22 projected tackles.
Alejandro Hernandez takes charge of this one. Across 2 games this season, he averages 3.0 yellows and 25.5 fouls per match – a relatively lenient official when it comes to the card count.
Our Statz Bet Builder has pulled together a four-leg punt at combined odds of 3.55:
This is a tough one to call. Both sides come in with mixed form and the data doesn’t scream one clear direction. The bet builder legs above are where the value sits – player props grounded in the numbers rather than trying to predict the unpredictable.
For full projections and stats, check out the full head-to-head breakdown on Statz. You can also explore our fixture projections and build your own selections with the Bet Builder Tool.