Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat game simulator
Houston Rockets visit Miami Heat on Monday 16 November. The Houston Rockets win 64% of the time in our projection; the 10,000-game simulation, with its spread, totals, margins and team stats, is part of Statz Pro.
- 10,000 simulated games, with the spread, totals and team totals
- Overtime, winning margins and every team stat line
- The next three games to tip are free
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Quick answers3 questions
How does the NBA game simulator work?
It starts from the Statz projection for the game: the expected margin, the expected total and the win chance. Each simulated game draws a 48-minute margin and total from the spread of results NBA games actually show around a line, settles a level game in overtime, and records the final score.
Why does the run finish on the model figures?
The simulated games come from the same model the page prices exactly, so after 10,000 games the counts are within a point or so of the exact chances, and the page then shows the exact figures. Run it again and the luck changes; the model does not.
How often does an NBA game go to overtime?
About one game in sixteen when the teams are even, and less the bigger the favourite. The simulator prices a level score after 48 minutes from the closeness of the projected margin, calibrated on how often games have actually finished level, then plays overtime out with the winning margins overtime games have produced.