NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet

107 NBA points props for the next seven days across 9 games, priced by 10 books. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. Luka Doncic has the highest projected points at 29.4 against a line of 34.5. 5 lines sit three or more points of chance from the market.

Points props10 of 107

Best price of 10 books BetwayFanaticsBetMGMBetParxFanDuelPPDraftKingsBetRiversCaesarsBally Bet

View
Presets
Line
overFanDuel1.80
underPP2.00
Under+20.3%L5 2/5L10 4/102632193421
overFanatics1.87
underPP1.91
Pro edgeL5 3/5L10 4/101625302029
overFanDuel1.88
underFanDuel1.88
Pro edgeL5 3/5L10 8/103826191727
overFanDuel1.82
underPP2.00
Pro edgeL5 1/5L10 5/10101526618
overFanDuel1.85
underFanDuel1.89
Pro edgeL5 3/5L10 5/10181725827
overPP1.91
underFanDuel1.85
Pro edgeL5 2/5L10 5/10201513822
overFanDuel1.93
underFanDuel1.82
Pro edgeL5 0/5L10 3/1074101212
overFanDuel1.77
underPP2.00
Pro edgeL5 2/5L10 4/1012724189
overFanDuel1.76
underPP2.00
Pro edgeL5 3/5L10 5/101021111913
overPP2.00
underPP1.73
Pro edgeL5 2/5L10 4/108169413
PlayerProj ▾LineOverUnderEdge
Jayson TatumJayson TatumBOS @ PHI · 8:00 PM ET263219342123.026.5FanDuel1.80PP2.00U+20.3%
Jaylen BrownJaylen BrownPHI v BOS · 8:00 PM ET1625302029Pro22.5Fanatics1.87PP1.91Pro
Tyrese MaxeyTyrese MaxeyPHI v BOS · 8:00 PM ET3826191727Pro23.5FanDuel1.88FanDuel1.88Pro
Joel EmbiidJoel EmbiidPHI v BOS · 8:00 PM ET101526618Pro19.5FanDuel1.82PP2.00Pro
Paul GeorgePaul GeorgeBOS @ PHI · 8:00 PM ET181725827Pro17.5FanDuel1.85FanDuel1.89Pro
LeBron JamesLeBron JamesPHI v BOS · 8:00 PM ET201513822Pro15.5PP1.91FanDuel1.85Pro
Payton PritchardPayton PritchardBOS @ PHI · 8:00 PM ET74101212Pro12.5FanDuel1.93FanDuel1.82Pro
Derrick WhiteDerrick WhiteBOS @ PHI · 8:00 PM ET12724189Pro12.5FanDuel1.77PP2.00Pro
VJ EdgecombeVJ EdgecombePHI v BOS · 8:00 PM ET1021111913Pro11.5FanDuel1.76PP2.00Pro
Neemias QuetaNeemias QuetaBOS @ PHI · 8:00 PM ET8169413Pro9.5PP2.00PP1.73Pro
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing the line. Edge is the gap on the side we favour: O for over, U for under. L5, L10 and the form chips count games over the line, this season first, playoffs left out. Hit-rate filters read the side chosen: the over unless Under is picked.Pro opens the projection and edge on 97 more rows.

107 NBA points props for the next seven days across 9 games, priced by 10 books. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. Luka Doncic has the highest projected points at 29.4 against a line of 34.5. 5 lines sit three or more points of chance from the market.

Quick answers3 questions

Who has the highest projected points on the slate?

Luka Doncic is projected for 29.4 points against a line of 34.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 1.95 at Betway and the best under 1.87 at Fanatics. We make the over 27.5% against the market's 49.4%.

Which player has the best recent points hit rate?

Ziaire Williams has cleared 7.5 points in 10 of the last 10 games, the strongest recent record on the slate. A hit rate is history, not a projection: the sheet shows it beside our number so the two can be read together.

How do I read Market, Statz and Edge?

Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.

Quick answers3 questions

Who has the highest projected points on the slate?

Luka Doncic is projected for 29.4 points against a line of 34.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 1.95 at Betway and the best under 1.87 at Fanatics. We make the over 27.5% against the market's 49.4%.

Which player has the best recent points hit rate?

Ziaire Williams has cleared 7.5 points in 10 of the last 10 games, the strongest recent record on the slate. A hit rate is history, not a projection: the sheet shows it beside our number so the two can be read together.

How do I read Market, Statz and Edge?

Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.