NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet
15 NBA threes props for the next seven days across 4 games, priced by 3 books. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. Tyrese Maxey has the highest projected threes at 2.8 against a line of 2.5. 8 lines sit three or more points of chance from the market.
Threes props15 of 15
Best price of 3 books 
15 NBA threes props for the next seven days across 4 games, priced by 3 books. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. Tyrese Maxey has the highest projected threes at 2.8 against a line of 2.5. 8 lines sit three or more points of chance from the market.
Quick answers3 questions
Who has the highest projected threes on the slate?
Tyrese Maxey is projected for 2.8 threes against a line of 2.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 1.98 at DraftKings and the best under 1.78 at DraftKings. We make the over 53.1% against the market's 47.3%.
Which player has the best recent threes hit rate?
Stephon Castle has cleared 0.5 threes in 8 of the last 10 games, the strongest recent record on the slate. A hit rate is history, not a projection: the sheet shows it beside our number so the two can be read together.
How do I read Market, Statz and Edge?
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.
Quick answers3 questions
Who has the highest projected threes on the slate?
Tyrese Maxey is projected for 2.8 threes against a line of 2.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 1.98 at DraftKings and the best under 1.78 at DraftKings. We make the over 53.1% against the market's 47.3%.
Which player has the best recent threes hit rate?
Stephon Castle has cleared 0.5 threes in 8 of the last 10 games, the strongest recent record on the slate. A hit rate is history, not a projection: the sheet shows it beside our number so the two can be read together.
How do I read Market, Statz and Edge?
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.