NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet
1 NBA steals props for the next seven days across 4 games, priced by 1 book. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has the highest projected steals at 1.3 against a line of 1.5.
Steals props1 of 1
Best price of 1 book 
| Player | Proj ▾ | Line | Over | Under | Edge | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC @ SAS · 9:30 PM ET20121 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.33 | 1.56 | 40.1% | 33.5% | U+6.6% | 20121 |
1 NBA steals props for the next seven days across 4 games, priced by 1 book. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has the highest projected steals at 1.3 against a line of 1.5.
Quick answers3 questions
Who has the highest projected steals on the slate?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected for 1.3 steals against a line of 1.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 2.33 at DraftKings and the best under 1.56 at DraftKings. We make the over 33.5% against the market's 40.1%.
Which player has the best recent steals hit rate?
Hit rates count the player's last five and ten games against today's line. Before the season they lean on last season's games; a run of eight in ten is strong form, five in ten is a coin flip, and the projection beside it says whether the model expects the run to hold.
How do I read Market, Statz and Edge?
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.
Quick answers3 questions
Who has the highest projected steals on the slate?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected for 1.3 steals against a line of 1.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 2.33 at DraftKings and the best under 1.56 at DraftKings. We make the over 33.5% against the market's 40.1%.
Which player has the best recent steals hit rate?
Hit rates count the player's last five and ten games against today's line. Before the season they lean on last season's games; a run of eight in ten is strong form, five in ten is a coin flip, and the projection beside it says whether the model expects the run to hold.
How do I read Market, Statz and Edge?
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.