San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers Predictions – NBA Playoff Preview | April 26, 2026

The San Antonio Spurs head to Portland for Game 4 of their First Round series against the Trail Blazers, leading 2-1. Tip-off is at 19:30 UTC. Full game preview and live odds at Statz.

Series Context

San Antonio (63-22) were the best team in the NBA during the regular season, but this series has been tighter than expected. Portland (44-41) have proven they can compete, winning Game 3 on their home floor. The Blazers’ form reads L,L,W,L,W – they’ve shown the ability to flip a switch at home. SAS have been inconsistent lately too (L,W,L,W,L), but their overall quality makes them clear favourites to close things out.

Moneyline and Spread

San Antonio are -190 on the moneyline, Portland +190. The spread is POR +5.5. Win probability sits at nearly even: POR 48.5% / SAS 51.5% – suggesting the model sees this as a genuine contest despite the series lead. Portland at home with a must-win mindset could be a compelling angle at +190.

Pace and Shooting Splits

Both sides run at an average pace – SAS 98.2, POR 96.0. Portland’s shooting efficiency has been a concern all season: FG% 45.3, 3P% 34.1 vs San Antonio’s cleaner 48.2% and 36.0% from deep. San Antonio’s defence has been elite all season (OPP 111.4 PPG), and Portland scores just 114.0 per game against an OPP of 115.5 – they’ve been a net-negative defensive team. Visit the NBA schedule for all playoff fixtures.

Key Players to Watch

Deni Avdija has been extraordinary. He’s projected for 27.3 pts/6.6 reb/7.2 ast and has been THE driving force for Portland’s competitiveness. Jrue Holiday contributes 19.6 pts/5.6 reb/6.3 ast in projection, and Scoot Henderson adds 17.0 pts.

For San Antonio, Victor Wembanyama remains the focal point, though his steals line (1.5) is trending under – just 0.6 steals per game in his last five. Keldon Johnson has been remarkably consistent, clearing 8.5 points in 12 straight games averaging 15.6. Stephon Castle has recorded zero blocks in his last nine games against the 0.5 line.

Prop Streaks and Milestones

Avdija’s streaks are remarkable – Points+Assists 29.5 OVER 7 straight averaging 39.2, and Points 23.5 OVER 7 straight averaging 31.2. He’s also on a 9-game points milestone streak averaging 27.8. Donovan Clingan has cleared rebounds 9.5 in 5 straight (avg 11.4) and is on 6 and 5-game milestone streaks for rebounds and blocks respectively. Robert Williams III has recorded rebounds in 8 consecutive games averaging 7.8.

Prediction

Avdija’s brilliance keeps this interesting, but San Antonio’s depth and defensive quality should prevail. Spurs to take a 3-1 series lead on the road. Build your prop bets with the Statz Bet Builder Tool. See full San Antonio Spurs and Portland Trail Blazers team pages for more.