Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder: Preview, Odds and Props
Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder, 22 October 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.
Same game parlays
Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.
Safer4 legs
Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.
Oklahoma City ThunderMoneyline · 72.8%
1.32
Jamal MurrayOver 2.5 Threes · 4/5 last 5 · 71.4%
1.68
Ajay MitchellUnder 1.5 Threes · 5/5 last 5 · 70.7%
1.53
PP1.91Nikola JokicUnder 26.5 Points · 4/5 last 5 · 67.9%
6.02Market 13.9%Statz 25%+11.1%
Edge4 legs
The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.
PP2.00Aaron GordonUnder 20.5 Pts + Reb · 3/5 last 5 · 80.1%
PP1.91DeMar DeRozanOver 18.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 2/5 last 5 · 75.8%
Isaiah HartensteinUnder 0.5 Blocks · 2/5 last 5 · 64.8%2.28
Alex CarusoUnder 6.5 Points · 1/5 last 5 · 66.7%
2.02
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 17.59.
Market 4.9%Statz 26.2%+21.3%
Scoring4 legs
Points, threes and the combination markets, over.
- DeMar DeRozanOver 12.5 Points · 3/5 last 5 · 76.4%1.85
- Jamal MurrayOver 2.5 Threes · 4/5 last 5 · 71.4%1.68
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOver 1.5 Threes · 3/5 last 5 · 64.5%
1.77
Chet HolmgrenOver 23.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 3/5 last 5 · 63.4%1.82
9.46Market 8.6%Statz 22.3%+13.7%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.