Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat: Preview, Odds and Props
The Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Miami Heat on Wednesday 21 October 2026. The Statz model gives the Miami Heat a 54% chance to win. Bet365 has the Miami Heat at +1.0 with the total at 241.0. The Miami Heat list 0 players on the injury report and the Minnesota Timberwolves list 2, with 2 ruled out.
Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total | Team total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
MIN Away | 2.02 | -12.02 | O 2411.95 | 120.5o 1.86 |
MIA Home | 1.81 | +11.71 | U 2411.80 | 121.5o 1.86 |
bet365 prices, pre-game. Shown for comparison with our model, not as an invitation to bet.
Statz Model
team-firstModel projection, not a bookmaker price.
Team form
Recent matchups
Matchup at a glance
Timberwolves against Heat, per game this season.
Injuries
2 listed across both sides.
Nobody listed.
Quick answers3 questions
Who is favoured, Minnesota Timberwolves or Miami Heat?
The Statz model favours the Miami Heat with a 54% win probability, leaving the Minnesota Timberwolves at 46%. Bet365 leans the other way, pricing the Minnesota Timberwolves as the favourite at -1.0 on the spread. The moneyline is -123 for the Miami Heat and +102 for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
What is the spread and total for Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat?
Bet365 lists the Miami Heat at +1.0 with the total at 241.0 for Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.
Which player props stand out for Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat?
The board's headline lines are Bam Adebayo 19.5+ rebounds at 36.00, LaMelo Ball 9.5+ threes at 29.00 and LaMelo Ball 16.5+ assists at 30.00. For the Miami Heat the model projects Giannis Antetokounmpo for 28.6 points and Bam Adebayo for 22.5 points. For the Minnesota Timberwolves it projects LaMelo Ball for 22.2 points and Jaden McDaniels for 16.1 points.



