MIN2.02MIA1.81SpreadMIA +6.5Total232.5via Bet365

Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat: Preview, Odds and Props

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Miami Heat on Wednesday 21 October 2026. The Statz model gives the Miami Heat a 54% chance to win. Bet365 has the Miami Heat at +1.0 with the total at 241.0. The Miami Heat list 0 players on the injury report and the Minnesota Timberwolves list 2, with 2 ruled out.

Odds

bet365
TeamMoneylineSpreadTotalTeam total
MIN
MIN
Away
2.02-12.02O 2411.95120.5o 1.86
MIA
MIA
Home
1.81+11.71U 2411.80121.5o 1.86

Bet365bet365 prices, pre-game. Shown for comparison with our model, not as an invitation to bet.

Statz Model

team-first
MIN 46%54% MIA
Projected line
-
Projected total
-

Model projection, not a bookmaker price.

Team form

Last six, newest first

Recent matchups

MIN 5-1 · last 6

Matchup at a glance

Timberwolves against Heat, per game this season.

MINTimberwolvesHeatMIA
122Points scored · MIN edge109
105Points allowed · MIN edge121.8
75%Win % · MIN edge0%
86.7Pace102.2
48.4%Field goal % · MIN edge46.2%
38.3%Three-point % · MIN edge36.5%
78.1%Free throw % · MIA edge81.7%

Injuries

2 listed across both sides.

MIAHeat

Nobody listed.

Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Minnesota Timberwolves or Miami Heat?

The Statz model favours the Miami Heat with a 54% win probability, leaving the Minnesota Timberwolves at 46%. Bet365 leans the other way, pricing the Minnesota Timberwolves as the favourite at -1.0 on the spread. The moneyline is -123 for the Miami Heat and +102 for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

What is the spread and total for Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat?

Bet365 lists the Miami Heat at +1.0 with the total at 241.0 for Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat?

The board's headline lines are Bam Adebayo 19.5+ rebounds at 36.00, LaMelo Ball 9.5+ threes at 29.00 and LaMelo Ball 16.5+ assists at 30.00. For the Miami Heat the model projects Giannis Antetokounmpo for 28.6 points and Bam Adebayo for 22.5 points. For the Minnesota Timberwolves it projects LaMelo Ball for 22.2 points and Jaden McDaniels for 16.1 points.