Moneyline

Spread

Total

Via Draftkings

๐Ÿ“Miami
๐Ÿ•12:00 AM ET

Odds

bet365
TeamMoneylineSpreadTotalTeam total
IND
IND
Away
2.35+3.51.90O 241.51.90โ€”
MIA
MIA
Home
1.62-3.51.90U 241.51.90โ€”

Our model makes it 0.5 points stronger on MIA than the board does.

bet365 prices, pre-game. Shown for comparison with our model, not as an invitation to bet.

Statz Model

team-first
IND
120
projected
MIA
124
IND 38%62% MIA
Projected line
MIA -4.0
Projected total
243.4

Model projection, not a bookmaker price.

Season Tape
2025-26 ยท rank of 30
INDIndiana Pacers
at
Miami HeatMIA
110.0
Points #29ยท#2
120.9
120.4
Points Allowed #25ยท#22
118.6
-10.4
Net Rating #29ยท#13
+2.3
40.3
Rebounds #28ยท#4
46.3
27.2
Assists #12ยท#4
29.0
13.5
Turnovers #12ยท#7
13.0
7.2
Steals #27ยท#14
8.6
4.5
Blocks #20ยท#24
4.3
46.0%
FG% #25ยท#15
46.8%
35.8%
3P% #17ยท#12
36.2%
13.0
3PM #18ยท#14
13.7
77.6%
FT% #18ยท#10
79.2%

Per-game averages across the 2025-26 regular season. Rank counts from best, so #1 is always the better end.

Projected Starting Fives
2025-26 minutes

Starters are not published in advance. These five are the heaviest minute-earners on each contracted roster who can cover all five positions between them.

Standings Context
2025-26 final
Central Division ยท East
TeamW-LPctHomeRoadSeed
Detroit PistonsDET60-220.73231-928-13#1
Cleveland CavaliersCLE52-300.63427-1425-16#4
Milwaukee BucksMIL32-500.39019-2213-28#11
Chicago BullsCHI31-510.37818-2313-28#12
Indiana PacersIND19-630.23211-308-33#14
Southeast Division ยท East
TeamW-LPctHomeRoadSeed
Atlanta HawksATL46-360.56124-1722-19#6
Orlando MagicORL45-370.54925-1519-20#8
Charlotte HornetsCHA44-380.53721-2023-18#9
Miami HeatMIA43-390.52426-1517-24#10
Washington WizardsWAS17-650.20711-306-35#15

Props & Streaks

Players from both teams with 5+ consecutive games hitting their prop line over/under
No prop line streaks found for this game.

Player Stats

Head-to-Head

10 meetings

Injuries

2 listed

Game Analysis

Pace

MIA

121.1

Fast

IND

113

Fast

MIA faster by 8.1

Shooting

MIA

FG: 46.2%

3PT: 36.5%

FT: 81.7%

IND

FG: 41.9%

3PT: 30.7%

FT: 76%

FG Differential+4.3%
3PT Differential+5.8%
FT Differential+5.7%

Stats Mismatch

Offensive Rating

MIA

126.4

IND

118.1

Defensive Rating

MIA

128.6

IND

119.7

Win %

MIA

40%

IND

30%

Frequently asked

The game is scheduled for 12:00 AM ET. Check-in times and pregame shows typically start 30 minutes before tip-off. The game will be broadcast on national TV and available for streaming.