DAL3.51MIA1.40SpreadMIA -7.5Total241.5via Kalshi
Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat: Preview, Odds and Props
Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat, 26 October 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.
Same game parlays
Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.
Safer4 legs
Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.
Daniel GaffordUnder 7.5 Rebounds · 4/5 last 5 · 75.8%
1.77
PP1.57Zaccharie RisacherUnder 1.5 Threes · 5/5 last 5 · 73.6%
Miami HeatMoneyline · 72.9%
1.37
P.J. WashingtonUnder 2.5 Assists · 5/5 last 5 · 70.3%
1.50
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 5.71.
Market 15.7%Statz 28.6%+12.9%
Edge4 legs
The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.
Tim Hardaway Jr.Under 0.5 Steals · 2/5 last 5 · 79.9%1.73
Giannis AntetokounmpoUnder 11.5 Rebounds · 3/5 last 5 · 72.9%1.82- Daniel GaffordUnder 7.5 Rebounds · 4/5 last 5 · 75.8%1.77
- PP2.00Zaccharie RisacherUnder 9.5 Points · 2/5 last 5 · 66.5%
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 11.15.
Market 7.6%Statz 29.4%+21.8%
Scoring4 legs
Points, threes and the combination markets, over.
- Tim Hardaway Jr.Over 1.5 Threes · 3/5 last 5 · 67%
1.69 
Pelle LarssonOver 13.5 Pts + Reb · 2/5 last 5 · 63.9%
1.91
Kyrie IrvingOver 29.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 2/5 last 5 · 63.6%
1.96
Bam AdebayoOver 1.5 Threes · 1/5 last 5 · 59.2%2.22
13.26Market 6.2%Statz 16.1%+9.9%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.