OKC1.53MEM2.90via Polymarket

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds and Picks

Updated Nov 5, with the latest lineups and odds

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday 6 November 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The Statz model gives the Oklahoma City Thunder a 59% chance to win. No market line is posted for this game yet. The Memphis Grizzlies list 2 players on the injury report and the Oklahoma City Thunder list 6, with 7 ruled out.

Matchup at a glance

Thunder against Grizzlies, per game this season.

OKCThunderGrizzliesMEM
110Points scored · MEM edge120.5
108.8Points allowed · OKC edge109.8
75%Win %75%
103.2Pace110.3
44.3%Field goal % · MEM edge46.8%
30.9%Three-point % · MEM edge37%
81.7%Free throw % · OKC edge80.6%

Injuries

8 listed across both sides.

Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Oklahoma City Thunder or Memphis Grizzlies?

The Statz model favours the Oklahoma City Thunder with a 59% win probability, leaving the Memphis Grizzlies at 41%. Over their last five games the Memphis Grizzlies are 3-2 and the Oklahoma City Thunder are 3-2. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies?

No spread or total is posted yet for Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies?

For Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies, the model projects Ty Jerome for 20.6 points and Cameron Boozer for 14.8 points for the Memphis Grizzlies. For the Oklahoma City Thunder it projects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for 30.4 points and Ajay Mitchell for 15.0 points.