MIA2000.00LAL1.00SpreadLAL -24.5Total259.5via Polymarket
Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers Same Game Parlay Picks
Updated Nov 2, after the final
Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Miami Heat at Los Angeles Lakers, 2 November 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.
Same game parlays
Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.
Safer4 legs
Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.
Klay ThompsonUnder 0.5 Steals · 4/5 last 5 · 84.4%
1.81
Pelle LarssonUnder 1.5 Steals · 4/5 last 5 · 73.9%
1.42
Andrew WigginsUnder 1.5 Steals · 4/5 last 5 · 73.5%
1.46
Matisse ThybulleUnder 2.5 Rebounds · 4/5 last 5 · 73.1%
1.90
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 7.13.
Market 11.4%Statz 33.5%+22.1%
Edge4 legs
The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.
Klay ThompsonUnder 0.5 Steals · 4/5 last 5 · 84.4%
1.81
Matisse ThybulleUnder 2.5 Rebounds · 4/5 last 5 · 73.1%
1.90
Bobby PortisUnder 6.5 Rebounds · 2/5 last 5 · 74.7%
1.76
PP2.00Giannis AntetokounmpoUnder 30.5 Points · 4/5 last 5 · 70.1%
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 12.11.
Market 7.2%Statz 32.3%+25.1%
Scoring4 legs
Points, threes and the combination markets, over.
Quentin GrimesOver 14.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 2/5 last 5 · 66.4%
1.95
Ziaire WilliamsOver 8.5 Points · 5/5 last 5 · 62.8%
1.83
Andrew WigginsOver 1.5 Threes · 3/5 last 5 · 60.4%
1.83
Walker KesslerOver 23.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 3/5 last 5 · 57.4%
1.83
Market 7.3%Statz 14.5%+7.2%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.

