Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers: Preview, Odds and Props

The Miami Heat visit the Indiana Pacers on Sunday 29 March 2026. The Statz model gives the Indiana Pacers a 53% chance to win. No market line is posted for this game yet. The Indiana Pacers list 4 players on the injury report and the Miami Heat list 0, with 4 ruled out.

Matchup at a glance

Heat against Pacers, per game this season.

MIAHeatPacersIND
113Points scored · IND edge115
120.8Points allowed · IND edge114.8
20%Win % · IND edge40%
113.9Pace107.9
46.2%Field goal % · MIA edge41.9%
36.5%Three-point % · MIA edge30.7%
81.7%Free throw % · MIA edge76%

Injuries

4 listed across both sides.

Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Miami Heat or Indiana Pacers?

The Statz model favours the Indiana Pacers with a 53% win probability, leaving the Miami Heat at 47%. Over their last five games the Indiana Pacers are 2-3 and the Miami Heat are 1-4. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers?

No spread or total is posted yet for Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price. Alternative spreads and totals, first-quarter and first-half lines sit in the same board where the book offers them.

Which player props stand out for Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers?

For Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers, the model projects Pascal Siakam for 17.5 points and Jarace Walker for 14.4 points for the Indiana Pacers. For the Miami Heat it projects Bam Adebayo for 21.2 points and Tyler Herro for 20.9 points.