Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds and Picks

Updated Jan 7, after the final

The Miami Heat visit the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday 7 January 2025. The Statz model gives the Golden State Warriors a 70% chance to win. No market line is posted for this game yet. The Golden State Warriors list 6 players on the injury report and the Miami Heat list 0, with 3 ruled out.

Matchup at a glance

Heat against Warriors, per game this season.

MIAHeatWarriorsGSW
118.1Points scored · MIA edge117.5
123.9Points allowed · GSW edge114.6
28.6%Win % · GSW edge62.5%
104.8Pace109.8
46.2%Field goal % · GSW edge49.2%
36.5%Three-point % · GSW edge37.6%
81.7%Free throw % · GSW edge83.6%

Injuries

6 listed across both sides.

MIAHeat

Nobody listed.

Quick answers3 questions

Who is favoured, Miami Heat or Golden State Warriors?

The Statz model favours the Golden State Warriors with a 70% win probability, leaving the Miami Heat at 30%. Over their last five games the Golden State Warriors are 5-0 and the Miami Heat are 2-3. The model's number comes from team-first projections that update through the day, so it can move before tip-off.

What is the spread and total for Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors?

No spread or total is posted yet for Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors; the odds board fills in once the books price the game. Lines move with injury news and money, so the odds board on this page carries the latest price.

Which player props stand out for Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors?

No player props or projections are posted yet for Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors; they appear once the books price the matchup, usually the day before tip-off. Until then the player stats tab ranks both rosters by points, rebounds and assists over the last five and last 10 games.