GSW1.01DEN100.00SpreadDEN -19.5Total263.5via Kalshi
Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets: Preview, Odds and Props
Same game parlays built from the board, each leg priced against the Statz model: Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets, 26 October 2026. The written preview, odds and model sit on the main preview page.
Same game parlays
Slips from the props and lines, priced by every book that carries each leg.
Safer4 legs
Short prices the player has cleared in at least four of their last five.
Christian BraunUnder 0.5 Blocks · 5/5 last 5 · 84.8%
1.43- Draymond GreenUnder 1.5 Threes · 5/5 last 5 · 73.6%
1.44
Denver NuggetsMoneyline · 72.9%
1.38
Nikola JokicOver 0.5 Blocks · 4/5 last 5 · 68%
1.68
No single book carries every leg; as singles the legs multiply to 4.77.
Market 16.6%Statz 30.9%+14.3%
Edge4 legs
The legs where our chance beats the market's by the most.
- PP1.91Yaxel LendeborgUnder 25.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 1/4 last 5 · 88.5%
PP2.00Aaron GordonUnder 23.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 3/5 last 5 · 81.2%
Nikola JokicUnder 9.5 Assists · 2/5 last 5 · 73.3%
2.07
PP2.00DeMar DeRozanOver 13.5 Points · 2/5 last 5 · 70.6%
12.11Market 5.3%Statz 37.2%+31.9%
Scoring4 legs
Points, threes and the combination markets, over.
DeMar DeRozanOver 18.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 2/5 last 5 · 73.2%
1.83- Gui SantosOver 14.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 3/5 last 5 · 64%
1.75
Christian BraunOver 16.5 Pts + Reb · 1/5 last 5 · 57%
1.85- Brandin PodziemskiOver 23.5 Pts + Reb + Ast · 3/5 last 5 · 53.9%
1.89
10.71Market 7.4%Statz 14.4%+7.0%
Our chance of a slip is its legs' chances multiplied, which treats them as independent; legs from one game lean on each other, so the true chance is a little higher. Every leg must land.

