Iceland xG 2026

Iceland Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2026

Iceland have recorded 5 expected goals (xG) across 3 UEFA Nations League games in 2026, averaging 1.7 per match. O. Óskarsson leads the squad with 2 expected goals (xG) - 0.95 per game.

Iceland Expected Goals (xG): Form & Insights

Over their last 10 games, Iceland are averaging 1.7 expected goals (xG) per match - O. Óskarsson leads that period with 2. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Iceland vs Estonia on 06.10.2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many expected goals (xG) do Iceland average per game?

Iceland average 1.7 expected goals (xG) per UEFA Nations League game in 2026, based on 3 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.7 per match.

Who leads Iceland for expected goals (xG)?

O. Óskarsson leads Iceland for expected goals (xG) in 2026 with 2 in UEFA Nations League - an average of 0.95 per game.

How do Iceland's expected goals (xG) break down home vs away?

Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Iceland's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026.

Iceland expected goals 2026: last 8

Games: 8
Expected goals (xG): 10.35
Goals scored: 14
Goals minus xG: +3.65
Expected goals against (xGA): 10.71
Goals conceded: 14
xGA minus goals conceded: -3.29
Expected points (xPts): 10.99
Points: 11
Points minus xPts: +0.01
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Iceland overperforming their expected goals?

Iceland's results and their chances agree, within 0.0 points of xPts over 8 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Next opponent: Estonia expected goals

Games: 8
Estonia xG per game: 0.63
Estonia xGA per game: 2.30
Points minus xPts: +1.83
Verdict: Running a little hot

Iceland results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 8	8	10.35	14	+3.65	10.71	14	-3.29	10.99	11	+0.01
Last 5	5	7.50	9	+1.50	6.97	9	-2.03	7.52	7	-0.52
Home	4	5.31	7	+1.69	6.40	7	-0.60	5.03	5	-0.03
Away	4	5.04	7	+1.96	4.31	7	-2.69	5.96	6	+0.04

Iceland expected goals match by match, last 8

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
29 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Luxembourg (A)	0-3	1.86	0.35	2.43	3	W
26 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Estonia (H)	1-1	1.84	1.24	1.77	1	W
19 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Wales (A)	4-1	1.40	1.45	1.35	0	L
16 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Montenegro (A)	0-2	1.06	1.05	1.36	3	W
14 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Turkey (H)	2-4	1.34	2.88	0.61	0	L
11 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Wales (H)	2-2	1.42	1.77	1.16	1	L
9 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Turkey (A)	3-1	0.72	1.46	0.82	0	L
6 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Montenegro (H)	2-0	0.71	0.51	1.49	3	D

Iceland players: goals against expected goals, last 8

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Andri Gudjohnsen	attacker	8	629	2.15	4	+1.85	0.31
Orri Óskarsson	attacker	8	578	2.44	4	+1.56	0.38
Victor Pálsson	defender	5	395	0.51	2	+1.49	0.12
Logi Tómasson	defender	6	410	0.11	1	+0.89	0.02
Ísak Jóhannesson	midfielder	6	301	0.30	1	+0.70	0.09
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson	attacker	6	431	0.83	1	+0.17	0.17
Johann Berg Guðmundsson	attacker	6	488	0.50	0	-0.50	0.09
Mikael Egill Ellertsson	midfielder	6	383	0.68	0	-0.68	0.16
Daníel Leó Grétarsson	defender	6	540	0.90	0	-0.90	0.15

UEFA Nations League 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Portugal	2	3.2	3	4.2	1	2.4	6	+3.6
2	Greece	2	3.6	3	2.7	1	3	6	+3
3	Sweden	2	2.6	5	2.2	2	3	6	+3
4	France	2	2.6	2	1.9	0	3.2	6	+2.8
5	Ukraine	2	1.4	1	3.1	0	1.4	4	+2.6
6	Spain	2	3.1	7	2.1	3	3.5	6	+2.5
7	Northern Ireland	2	2	1	2.7	0	2.2	4	+1.8
8	Austria	2	4.6	6	1.7	2	4.3	6	+1.7
9	Montenegro	2	4.6	5	1.9	3	4.3	6	+1.7
10	Albania	2	4	5	1.5	0	4.5	6	+1.5
11	Slovakia	2	3.4	4	0.7	1	4.7	6	+1.3
12	Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	2.3	4	2	2	2.8	4	+1.2
13	Luxembourg	2	1.7	2	3.1	4	1.8	3	+1.2
14	Slovenia	2	2.2	2	2	0	2.9	4	+1.1
15	Republic of Ireland	2	1.3	3	2.9	1	2	3	+1
16	Switzerland	2	3.8	6	0.2	0	5.2	6	+0.8
17	Belgium	2	2.9	2	3.5	1	2.3	3	+0.7
18	Malta	1	3.3	2	0.9	1	2.6	3	+0.4
19	Croatia	2	2.6	3	2.4	5	2.8	3	+0.2
20	Italy	2	3.8	4	3.8	3	2.8	3	+0.2
21	Estonia	2	1.7	1	2.9	1	1.8	2	+0.2
22	Gibraltar	1	0.3	0	0.8	0	0.8	1	+0.2
23	Lithuania	2	2.9	3	1.4	1	3.9	4	+0.1
24	Armenia	2	2	4	1.9	3	2.9	3	+0.1
25	Kazakhstan	2	0.8	2	2.9	3	1.1	1	-0.1
26	Iceland	2	3.7	4	1.6	1	4.2	4	-0.2
27	Denmark	2	3.2	4	2.5	3	3.2	3	-0.2
28	Liechtenstein	1	0.1	0	1.6	2	0.3	0	-0.3
29	Azerbaijan	1	1.3	1	1.3	1	1.4	1	-0.4
30	England	2	3.2	4	2.2	3	3.5	3	-0.5
31	Latvia	2	1.4	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
32	Belarus	2	1.3	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
33	Netherlands	2	6.6	3	2.8	2	4.6	4	-0.6
34	San Marino	2	0.7	0	5.6	10	0.6	0	-0.6
35	Finland	2	4.7	7	0.5	0	4.7	4	-0.7
36	North Macedonia	2	0.6	0	4	5	0.7	0	-0.7
37	Kosovo	2	3.8	2	1.9	3	3.9	3	-0.9
38	Faroe Islands	2	2.5	2	2.4	2	2.9	2	-0.9
39	Serbia	2	2.5	2	6.7	4	0.9	0	-0.9
40	Norway	2	4.4	4	2.2	4	4	3	-1
41	Israel	2	0.8	1	4	6	1	0	-1
42	Andorra	2	1.7	1	3.6	2	2.1	1	-1.1
43	Moldova	2	2.3	1	3	3	2.3	1	-1.3
44	Czech Republic	2	1.5	1	3.7	4	1.3	0	-1.3
45	Scotland	2	1.6	0	2.1	3	2.4	1	-1.4
46	Cyprus	2	3	1	4.2	2	2.4	1	-1.4
47	Wales	2	2.3	0	4.2	3	1.6	0	-1.6
48	Germany	2	3.1	1	3.4	2	2.8	1	-1.8
49	Poland	2	2.2	1	2	3	3	1	-2
50	Romania	2	2	3	2.9	6	2.1	0	-2.1
51	Bulgaria	2	2.4	1	1.8	2	3.2	1	-2.2
52	Hungary	2	3.2	0	2.1	1	3.5	1	-2.5
53	Georgia	2	2.7	0	1.4	1	3.7	1	-2.7
54	Turkey	2	2.8	1	2.8	5	2.7	0	-2.7

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