Latvia have recorded 3 expected goals (xG) across 4 UEFA Nations League games in 2026, averaging 0.8 per match. V. Gutkovskis leads the squad with 1 expected goals (xG) - 0.27 per game.
Over their last 10 games, Latvia are averaging 0.8 expected goals (xG) per match - V. Gutkovskis leads that period with 1. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Latvia vs Montenegro on 12.11.2026.
Latvia average 0.8 expected goals (xG) per UEFA Nations League game in 2026, based on 4 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 0.8 per match.
V. Gutkovskis leads Latvia for expected goals (xG) in 2026 with 1 in UEFA Nations League - an average of 0.27 per game.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Latvia's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026.
Latvia have taken 2.3 points fewer than their chances warranted over 8 games: -3.0 goals against their xG, and -0.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 8 | 8 | 6.97 | 4 | -2.97 | 12.06 | 13 | -0.94 | 7.28 | 5 | -2.28 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.81 | 2 | -2.81 | 8.03 | 6 | +2.03 | 4.64 | 2 | -2.64 |
| Home | 4 | 4.03 | 2 | -2.03 | 6.31 | 5 | +1.31 | 3.95 | 4 | +0.05 |
| Away | 4 | 2.94 | 2 | -0.94 | 5.75 | 8 | -2.25 | 3.33 | 1 | -2.33 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Cyprus (H) | 0-0 | 1.01 | 1.72 | 0.91 | 1 | L |
| 25 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Armenia (A) | 2-0 | 0.36 | 1.37 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| 17 Nov | UEFA Nations League | Armenia (H) | 1-2 | 1.08 | 1.98 | 0.82 | 0 | L |
| 14 Nov | UEFA Nations League | North Macedonia (A) | 1-0 | 0.91 | 1.66 | 0.86 | 0 | L |
| 13 Oct | UEFA Nations League | Faroe Islands (A) | 1-1 | 1.45 | 1.30 | 1.48 | 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | UEFA Nations League | North Macedonia (H) | 0-3 | 0.68 | 1.37 | 0.84 | 0 | L |
| 10 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Faroe Islands (H) | 1-0 | 1.26 | 1.24 | 1.38 | 3 | W |
| 7 Sep | UEFA Nations League | Armenia (A) | 4-1 | 0.22 | 1.42 | 0.42 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renars Varslavans | midfielder | 6 | 384 | 0.35 | 1 | +0.65 | 0.08 |
| Dario Sits | attacker | 3 | 168 | 1.07 | 1 | -0.07 | 0.58 |
| R. UldriÄ·is | attacker | 8 | 371 | 1.39 | 1 | -0.39 | 0.34 |
| Janis Ikaunieks | midfielder | 5 | 395 | 0.52 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.12 |
| Deniss Melniks | midfielder | 5 | 217 | 0.67 | 0 | -0.67 | 0.28 |
| Vladislavs Gutkovskis | attacker | 7 | 367 | 0.88 | 0 | -0.88 | 0.22 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 3.2 | 3 | 4.2 | 1 | 2.4 | 6 | +3.6 |
| 2 | Greece | 2 | 3.6 | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +3 |
| 3 | Sweden | 2 | 2.6 | 5 | 2.2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +3 |
| 4 | France | 2 | 2.6 | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | 3.2 | 6 | +2.8 |
| 5 | Ukraine | 2 | 1.4 | 1 | 3.1 | 0 | 1.4 | 4 | +2.6 |
| 6 | Spain | 2 | 3.1 | 7 | 2.1 | 3 | 3.5 | 6 | +2.5 |
| 7 | Northern Ireland | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2.7 | 0 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 8 | Austria | 2 | 4.6 | 6 | 1.7 | 2 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 9 | Montenegro | 2 | 4.6 | 5 | 1.9 | 3 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Albania | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1.5 | 0 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 11 | Slovakia | 2 | 3.4 | 4 | 0.7 | 1 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 12 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2 | 2.3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 13 | Luxembourg | 2 | 1.7 | 2 | 3.1 | 4 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 14 | Slovenia | 2 | 2.2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 15 | Republic of Ireland | 2 | 1.3 | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 | Switzerland | 2 | 3.8 | 6 | 0.2 | 0 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 17 | Belgium | 2 | 2.9 | 2 | 3.5 | 1 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 18 | Malta | 1 | 3.3 | 2 | 0.9 | 1 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 19 | Croatia | 2 | 2.6 | 3 | 2.4 | 5 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 20 | Italy | 2 | 3.8 | 4 | 3.8 | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 21 | Estonia | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | 2.9 | 1 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 22 | Gibraltar | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 23 | Lithuania | 2 | 2.9 | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 24 | Armenia | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1.9 | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 25 | Kazakhstan | 2 | 0.8 | 2 | 2.9 | 3 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 26 | Iceland | 2 | 3.7 | 4 | 1.6 | 1 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 27 | Denmark | 2 | 3.2 | 4 | 2.5 | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 28 | Liechtenstein | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 29 | Azerbaijan | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 30 | England | 2 | 3.2 | 4 | 2.2 | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 31 | Latvia | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | 3.1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 32 | Belarus | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | 3.1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 33 | Netherlands | 2 | 6.6 | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 34 | San Marino | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | 5.6 | 10 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 35 | Finland | 2 | 4.7 | 7 | 0.5 | 0 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 36 | North Macedonia | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 37 | Kosovo | 2 | 3.8 | 2 | 1.9 | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 38 | Faroe Islands | 2 | 2.5 | 2 | 2.4 | 2 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 39 | Serbia | 2 | 2.5 | 2 | 6.7 | 4 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 40 | Norway | 2 | 4.4 | 4 | 2.2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
| 41 | Israel | 2 | 0.8 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| 42 | Andorra | 2 | 1.7 | 1 | 3.6 | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 43 | Moldova | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 44 | Czech Republic | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | 3.7 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 45 | Scotland | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | 2.1 | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 46 | Cyprus | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4.2 | 2 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 47 | Wales | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | 4.2 | 3 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 48 | Germany | 2 | 3.1 | 1 | 3.4 | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 49 | Poland | 2 | 2.2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
| 50 | Romania | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2.9 | 6 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 51 | Bulgaria | 2 | 2.4 | 1 | 1.8 | 2 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 52 | Hungary | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | 2.1 | 1 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| 53 | Georgia | 2 | 2.7 | 0 | 1.4 | 1 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| 54 | Turkey | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | 2.8 | 5 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |