Scotland xG 2026

Scotland Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2026

Scotland have recorded 5 expected goals (xG) across 3 UEFA Nations League games in 2026, averaging 1.7 per match. K. Bowie leads the squad with 1 expected goals (xG) - 0.89 per game. J. McGinn is next with 1.

Scotland Expected Goals (xG): Form & Insights

Over their last 10 games, Scotland are averaging 1.7 expected goals (xG) per match - K. Bowie leads that period with 1. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Scotland vs Slovenia on 06.10.2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many expected goals (xG) do Scotland average per game?

Scotland average 1.7 expected goals (xG) per UEFA Nations League game in 2026, based on 3 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.7 per match.

Who leads Scotland for expected goals (xG)?

K. Bowie leads Scotland for expected goals (xG) in 2026 with 1 in UEFA Nations League - an average of 0.89 per game. J. McGinn is second with 1.

How do Scotland's expected goals (xG) break down home vs away?

Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Scotland's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026.

Scotland expected goals 2026: last 8

Games: 8
Expected goals (xG): 7.26
Goals scored: 7
Goals minus xG: -0.26
Expected goals against (xGA): 12.81
Goals conceded: 11
xGA minus goals conceded: +1.81
Expected points (xPts): 7.42
Points: 8
Points minus xPts: +0.58
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Are Scotland overperforming their expected goals?

Scotland's results and their chances agree, within 0.6 points of xPts over 8 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.

Next opponent: Slovenia expected goals

Games: 8
Slovenia xG per game: 1.22
Slovenia xGA per game: 1.34
Points minus xPts: +1.25
Verdict: Running a little hot

Scotland results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 8	8	7.26	7	-0.26	12.81	11	+1.81	7.42	8	+0.58
Last 5	5	4.67	3	-1.67	7.01	4	+3.01	5.23	8	+2.77
Home	4	2.72	3	+0.28	6.64	6	+0.64	2.75	4	+1.25
Away	4	4.54	4	-0.54	6.17	5	+1.17	4.67	4	-0.67

Scotland expected goals match by match, last 8

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
29 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Switzerland (H)	0-3	0.11	1.52	0.31	0	L
26 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Slovenia (A)	0-0	1.50	0.57	2.06	1	W
18 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Poland (A)	1-2	1.66	1.71	1.36	3	L
15 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Croatia (H)	1-0	1.10	1.46	1.12	3	L
15 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Portugal (H)	0-0	0.30	1.75	0.38	1	L
12 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Croatia (A)	2-1	0.76	1.37	0.90	0	L
8 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Portugal (A)	2-1	0.62	2.52	0.35	0	L
5 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Poland (H)	2-3	1.21	1.91	0.94	0	L

Scotland players: goals against expected goals, last 8

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
John McGinn	midfielder	6	473	0.46	2	+1.54	0.09
Billy Gilmour	midfielder	8	678	0.44	1	+0.56	0.06
Andrew Robertson	defender	8	704	0.48	1	+0.52	0.06
Ryan Christie	midfielder	7	436	0.66	1	+0.34	0.14
Scott McTominay	midfielder	6	526	2.02	2	-0.02	0.34
Ben Gannon-Doak	attacker	8	363	0.70	0	-0.70	0.17

UEFA Nations League 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Portugal	2	3.2	3	4.2	1	2.4	6	+3.6
2	Greece	2	3.6	3	2.7	1	3	6	+3
3	Sweden	2	2.6	5	2.2	2	3	6	+3
4	France	2	2.6	2	1.9	0	3.2	6	+2.8
5	Ukraine	2	1.4	1	3.1	0	1.4	4	+2.6
6	Spain	2	3.1	7	2.1	3	3.5	6	+2.5
7	Northern Ireland	2	2	1	2.7	0	2.2	4	+1.8
8	Austria	2	4.6	6	1.7	2	4.3	6	+1.7
9	Montenegro	2	4.6	5	1.9	3	4.3	6	+1.7
10	Albania	2	4	5	1.5	0	4.5	6	+1.5
11	Slovakia	2	3.4	4	0.7	1	4.7	6	+1.3
12	Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	2.3	4	2	2	2.8	4	+1.2
13	Luxembourg	2	1.7	2	3.1	4	1.8	3	+1.2
14	Slovenia	2	2.2	2	2	0	2.9	4	+1.1
15	Republic of Ireland	2	1.3	3	2.9	1	2	3	+1
16	Switzerland	2	3.8	6	0.2	0	5.2	6	+0.8
17	Belgium	2	2.9	2	3.5	1	2.3	3	+0.7
18	Malta	1	3.3	2	0.9	1	2.6	3	+0.4
19	Croatia	2	2.6	3	2.4	5	2.8	3	+0.2
20	Italy	2	3.8	4	3.8	3	2.8	3	+0.2
21	Estonia	2	1.7	1	2.9	1	1.8	2	+0.2
22	Gibraltar	1	0.3	0	0.8	0	0.8	1	+0.2
23	Lithuania	2	2.9	3	1.4	1	3.9	4	+0.1
24	Armenia	2	2	4	1.9	3	2.9	3	+0.1
25	Kazakhstan	2	0.8	2	2.9	3	1.1	1	-0.1
26	Iceland	2	3.7	4	1.6	1	4.2	4	-0.2
27	Denmark	2	3.2	4	2.5	3	3.2	3	-0.2
28	Liechtenstein	1	0.1	0	1.6	2	0.3	0	-0.3
29	Azerbaijan	1	1.3	1	1.3	1	1.4	1	-0.4
30	England	2	3.2	4	2.2	3	3.5	3	-0.5
31	Latvia	2	1.4	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
32	Belarus	2	1.3	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
33	Netherlands	2	6.6	3	2.8	2	4.6	4	-0.6
34	San Marino	2	0.7	0	5.6	10	0.6	0	-0.6
35	Finland	2	4.7	7	0.5	0	4.7	4	-0.7
36	North Macedonia	2	0.6	0	4	5	0.7	0	-0.7
37	Kosovo	2	3.8	2	1.9	3	3.9	3	-0.9
38	Faroe Islands	2	2.5	2	2.4	2	2.9	2	-0.9
39	Serbia	2	2.5	2	6.7	4	0.9	0	-0.9
40	Norway	2	4.4	4	2.2	4	4	3	-1
41	Israel	2	0.8	1	4	6	1	0	-1
42	Andorra	2	1.7	1	3.6	2	2.1	1	-1.1
43	Moldova	2	2.3	1	3	3	2.3	1	-1.3
44	Czech Republic	2	1.5	1	3.7	4	1.3	0	-1.3
45	Scotland	2	1.6	0	2.1	3	2.4	1	-1.4
46	Cyprus	2	3	1	4.2	2	2.4	1	-1.4
47	Wales	2	2.3	0	4.2	3	1.6	0	-1.6
48	Germany	2	3.1	1	3.4	2	2.8	1	-1.8
49	Poland	2	2.2	1	2	3	3	1	-2
50	Romania	2	2	3	2.9	6	2.1	0	-2.1
51	Bulgaria	2	2.4	1	1.8	2	3.2	1	-2.2
52	Hungary	2	3.2	0	2.1	1	3.5	1	-2.5
53	Georgia	2	2.7	0	1.4	1	3.7	1	-2.7
54	Turkey	2	2.8	1	2.8	5	2.7	0	-2.7

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