Finland xG 2026

Finland Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2026

Finland have recorded 5 expected goals (xG) across 3 UEFA Nations League games in 2026, averaging 1.7 per match. J. Pohjanpalo leads the squad with 2 expected goals (xG) - 0.79 per game.

Finland Expected Goals (xG): Form & Insights

Over their last 10 games, Finland are averaging 1.7 expected goals (xG) per match - J. Pohjanpalo leads that period with 2. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Finland vs Belarus on 06.10.2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many expected goals (xG) do Finland average per game?

Finland average 1.7 expected goals (xG) per UEFA Nations League game in 2026, based on 3 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.7 per match.

Who leads Finland for expected goals (xG)?

J. Pohjanpalo leads Finland for expected goals (xG) in 2026 with 2 in UEFA Nations League - an average of 0.79 per game.

How do Finland's expected goals (xG) break down home vs away?

Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Finland's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026.

Finland expected goals 2026: last 8

Games: 8
Expected goals (xG): 9.96
Goals scored: 9
Goals minus xG: -0.96
Expected goals against (xGA): 10.26
Goals conceded: 13
xGA minus goals conceded: -2.74
Expected points (xPts): 9.82
Points: 4
Points minus xPts: -5.82
Verdict: Due an upturn

Are Finland overperforming their expected goals?

Finland have taken 5.8 points fewer than their chances warranted over 8 games: -1.0 goals against their xG, and -2.7 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Next opponent: Belarus expected goals

Games: 8
Belarus xG per game: 0.69
Belarus xGA per game: 1.28
Points minus xPts: +0.35
Verdict: In line with expected goals

Finland results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 8	8	9.96	9	-0.96	10.26	13	-2.74	9.82	4	-5.82
Last 5	5	8.92	8	-0.92	5.18	6	-0.82	8.40	4	-4.40
Home	4	3.52	2	-1.52	4.98	7	-2.02	4.42	1	-3.42
Away	4	6.44	7	+0.56	5.28	6	-0.72	5.40	3	-2.40

Finland expected goals match by match, last 8

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
29 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Belarus (H)	0-0	1.04	0.50	1.79	1	W
26 Sep	UEFA Nations League	San Marino (A)	0-7	3.69	0.03	2.90	3	W
17 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Greece (H)	0-2	0.61	1.38	0.78	0	L
14 Nov	UEFA Nations League	Republic of Ireland (A)	1-0	2.31	1.52	1.86	0	W
13 Oct	UEFA Nations League	England (H)	1-3	1.27	1.75	1.07	0	L
10 Oct	UEFA Nations League	Republic of Ireland (H)	1-2	0.60	1.35	0.78	0	L
10 Sep	UEFA Nations League	England (A)	2-0	0.09	2.21	0.15	0	L
7 Sep	UEFA Nations League	Greece (A)	3-0	0.35	1.52	0.49	0	L

Finland players: goals against expected goals, last 8

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Leo Walta	midfielder	6	249	0.59	2	+1.41	0.21
A. Hoskonen	defender	6	540	0.19	1	+0.82	0.03
Joel Pohjanpalo	attacker	7	374	3.58	4	+0.42	0.86
Benjamin Källman	attacker	8	450	0.82	1	+0.18	0.16
Teemu Pukki	attacker	5	94	0.50	0	-0.50	0.48
Fredrik Jensen	midfielder	3	161	0.57	0	-0.57	0.32
Robin Lod	midfielder	7	407	0.66	0	-0.66	0.14

UEFA Nations League 2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Portugal	2	3.2	3	4.2	1	2.4	6	+3.6
2	Greece	2	3.6	3	2.7	1	3	6	+3
3	Sweden	2	2.6	5	2.2	2	3	6	+3
4	France	2	2.6	2	1.9	0	3.2	6	+2.8
5	Ukraine	2	1.4	1	3.1	0	1.4	4	+2.6
6	Spain	2	3.1	7	2.1	3	3.5	6	+2.5
7	Northern Ireland	2	2	1	2.7	0	2.2	4	+1.8
8	Austria	2	4.6	6	1.7	2	4.3	6	+1.7
9	Montenegro	2	4.6	5	1.9	3	4.3	6	+1.7
10	Albania	2	4	5	1.5	0	4.5	6	+1.5
11	Slovakia	2	3.4	4	0.7	1	4.7	6	+1.3
12	Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	2.3	4	2	2	2.8	4	+1.2
13	Luxembourg	2	1.7	2	3.1	4	1.8	3	+1.2
14	Slovenia	2	2.2	2	2	0	2.9	4	+1.1
15	Republic of Ireland	2	1.3	3	2.9	1	2	3	+1
16	Switzerland	2	3.8	6	0.2	0	5.2	6	+0.8
17	Belgium	2	2.9	2	3.5	1	2.3	3	+0.7
18	Malta	1	3.3	2	0.9	1	2.6	3	+0.4
19	Croatia	2	2.6	3	2.4	5	2.8	3	+0.2
20	Italy	2	3.8	4	3.8	3	2.8	3	+0.2
21	Estonia	2	1.7	1	2.9	1	1.8	2	+0.2
22	Gibraltar	1	0.3	0	0.8	0	0.8	1	+0.2
23	Lithuania	2	2.9	3	1.4	1	3.9	4	+0.1
24	Armenia	2	2	4	1.9	3	2.9	3	+0.1
25	Kazakhstan	2	0.8	2	2.9	3	1.1	1	-0.1
26	Iceland	2	3.7	4	1.6	1	4.2	4	-0.2
27	Denmark	2	3.2	4	2.5	3	3.2	3	-0.2
28	Liechtenstein	1	0.1	0	1.6	2	0.3	0	-0.3
29	Azerbaijan	1	1.3	1	1.3	1	1.4	1	-0.4
30	England	2	3.2	4	2.2	3	3.5	3	-0.5
31	Latvia	2	1.4	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
32	Belarus	2	1.3	0	3.1	2	1.5	1	-0.5
33	Netherlands	2	6.6	3	2.8	2	4.6	4	-0.6
34	San Marino	2	0.7	0	5.6	10	0.6	0	-0.6
35	Finland	2	4.7	7	0.5	0	4.7	4	-0.7
36	North Macedonia	2	0.6	0	4	5	0.7	0	-0.7
37	Kosovo	2	3.8	2	1.9	3	3.9	3	-0.9
38	Faroe Islands	2	2.5	2	2.4	2	2.9	2	-0.9
39	Serbia	2	2.5	2	6.7	4	0.9	0	-0.9
40	Norway	2	4.4	4	2.2	4	4	3	-1
41	Israel	2	0.8	1	4	6	1	0	-1
42	Andorra	2	1.7	1	3.6	2	2.1	1	-1.1
43	Moldova	2	2.3	1	3	3	2.3	1	-1.3
44	Czech Republic	2	1.5	1	3.7	4	1.3	0	-1.3
45	Scotland	2	1.6	0	2.1	3	2.4	1	-1.4
46	Cyprus	2	3	1	4.2	2	2.4	1	-1.4
47	Wales	2	2.3	0	4.2	3	1.6	0	-1.6
48	Germany	2	3.1	1	3.4	2	2.8	1	-1.8
49	Poland	2	2.2	1	2	3	3	1	-2
50	Romania	2	2	3	2.9	6	2.1	0	-2.1
51	Bulgaria	2	2.4	1	1.8	2	3.2	1	-2.2
52	Hungary	2	3.2	0	2.1	1	3.5	1	-2.5
53	Georgia	2	2.7	0	1.4	1	3.7	1	-2.7
54	Turkey	2	2.8	1	2.8	5	2.7	0	-2.7

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